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icon for Jean-Lesage Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec
Mundo·Adereços Eleitorais Internacionais

Jean-Lesage Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec

icon for Jean-Lesage Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec
Mundo·Adereços Eleitorais Internacionais

Jean-Lesage Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec

Sol Zanetti 33%

Nathalie St-Pierre 29%

Nancy Joannette 24%

Claude Villeneuve 22%

Polymarket
NOVO

Sol Zanetti 33%

Nathalie St-Pierre 29%

Nancy Joannette 24%

Claude Villeneuve 22%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$30 Vol.

26%

icon for Nathalie St-Pierre

Nathalie St-Pierre

$31 Vol.

29%

icon for Nancy Joannette

Nancy Joannette

$11 Vol.

24%

icon for Claude Villeneuve

Claude Villeneuve

$11 Vol.

22%

icon for Gertrude Bourdon

Gertrude Bourdon

$11 Vol.

22%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City remains highly competitive ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with market prices reflecting a close contest among Sol Zanetti (Québec solidaire incumbent and co-spokesperson), Claude Villeneuve (Parti québécois), Nathalie St-Pierre (Coalition Avenir Québec), Gertrude Bourdon (Parti libéral du Québec), and Nancy Joannette (Parti conservateur du Québec). Villeneuve’s late-August nomination as a former municipal opposition leader and PQ communications director strengthens the sovereigntist challenge in a riding QS has held since 2018. Fragmented support across five main parties, combined with provincial polling volatility between the PQ and CAQ, sustains tight implied probabilities. Further separation could emerge from riding-specific polling, leader visits, or late-campaign shifts in francophone turnout before nomination deadlines close on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$95
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City remains highly competitive ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with market prices reflecting a close contest among Sol Zanetti (Québec solidaire incumbent and co-spokesperson), Claude Villeneuve (Parti québécois), Nathalie St-Pierre (Coalition Avenir Québec), Gertrude Bourdon (Parti libéral du Québec), and Nancy Joannette (Parti conservateur du Québec). Villeneuve’s late-August nomination as a former municipal opposition leader and PQ communications director strengthens the sovereigntist challenge in a riding QS has held since 2018. Fragmented support across five main parties, combined with provincial polling volatility between the PQ and CAQ, sustains tight implied probabilities. Further separation could emerge from riding-specific polling, leader visits, or late-campaign shifts in francophone turnout before nomination deadlines close on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$95
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Jean-Lesage Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nathalie St-Pierre" at 28%, followed by "Sol Zanetti" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Jean-Lesage Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Jean-Lesage Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Jean-Lesage Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec" is "Nathalie St-Pierre" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sol Zanetti" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Jean-Lesage Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Nacional de Quebec" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.