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Mundo·Canadá

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec

icon for Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec
Mundo·Canadá

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec

Andrés Fontecilla 44%

Randy Legault-Rankin 27%

Derek Lefebvre 27%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 24%

Polymarket
NOVO

Andrés Fontecilla 44%

Randy Legault-Rankin 27%

Derek Lefebvre 27%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 24%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Andrés Fontecilla

Andrés Fontecilla

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Randy Legault-Rankin

Randy Legault-Rankin

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Derek Lefebvre

Derek Lefebvre

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Kelly Lazo de la Vega

Kelly Lazo de la Vega

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Emil Parfyonov

Emil Parfyonov

$0 Vol.

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight race in Laurier-Dorion reflects Québec solidaire incumbent Andrés Fontecilla's established local base in this Montreal riding against a competitive Liberal challenger in Randy Legault-Rankin, amid a broader provincial contest scheduled for October 5. Recent candidate nominations and the campaign launch have highlighted shared priorities such as housing affordability, immigration integration, and public services, with projections showing QS and Liberal support within a few points. Limited polling granularity at the riding level, combined with the open nomination window until September 17, sustains uncertainty among traders. Developments like party leader visibility in the district, shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, or late policy contrasts on cost-of-living measures could widen the gap before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight race in Laurier-Dorion reflects Québec solidaire incumbent Andrés Fontecilla's established local base in this Montreal riding against a competitive Liberal challenger in Randy Legault-Rankin, amid a broader provincial contest scheduled for October 5. Recent candidate nominations and the campaign launch have highlighted shared priorities such as housing affordability, immigration integration, and public services, with projections showing QS and Liberal support within a few points. Limited polling granularity at the riding level, combined with the open nomination window until September 17, sustains uncertainty among traders. Developments like party leader visibility in the district, shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, or late policy contrasts on cost-of-living measures could widen the gap before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andrés Fontecilla" at 45%, followed by "Randy Legault-Rankin" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec" is "Andrés Fontecilla" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Randy Legault-Rankin" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.