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Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Beauharnois Quebec

icon for Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Beauharnois Quebec
Mundo·Canadá

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Beauharnois Quebec

Alexandre Daneau 45%

Claude Reid 44%

Charles Royer Tremblay 27%

Angélika Homère 26%

Polymarket
NOVO

Alexandre Daneau 45%

Claude Reid 44%

Charles Royer Tremblay 27%

Angélika Homère 26%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Alexandre Daneau

Alexandre Daneau

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Claude Reid

Claude Reid

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Charles Royer Tremblay

Charles Royer Tremblay

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Angélika Homère

Angélika Homère

$0 Vol.

26%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Beauharnois riding features a competitive multi-candidate contest ahead of the October 5 Quebec provincial election, with incumbent Claude Reid of the Coalition Avenir Québec facing Alexandre Daneau of the Parti Québécois, Charles Royer Tremblay of the Quebec Liberal Party, and Angélika Homère of the Parti Conservateur du Québec. Recent candidate nominations, including Reid’s re-election bid and Daneau’s June 2026 PQ investiture win, have kept probabilities closely matched as provincial polling shows a tightening CAQ-PQ dynamic that could influence local turnout and swing voters. The presence of several additional contenders at lower implied probabilities reflects a fragmented field where no single party holds a dominant local edge. Key factors that could shift odds include riding-specific polls, leader campaign stops, and voter responses to regional economic or sovereignty issues in the final weeks before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Beauharnois riding features a competitive multi-candidate contest ahead of the October 5 Quebec provincial election, with incumbent Claude Reid of the Coalition Avenir Québec facing Alexandre Daneau of the Parti Québécois, Charles Royer Tremblay of the Quebec Liberal Party, and Angélika Homère of the Parti Conservateur du Québec. Recent candidate nominations, including Reid’s re-election bid and Daneau’s June 2026 PQ investiture win, have kept probabilities closely matched as provincial polling shows a tightening CAQ-PQ dynamic that could influence local turnout and swing voters. The presence of several additional contenders at lower implied probabilities reflects a fragmented field where no single party holds a dominant local edge. Key factors that could shift odds include riding-specific polls, leader campaign stops, and voter responses to regional economic or sovereignty issues in the final weeks before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Beauharnois Quebec" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandre Daneau" at 45%, followed by "Claude Reid" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Beauharnois Quebec" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Beauharnois Quebec," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Beauharnois Quebec" is "Alexandre Daneau" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Claude Reid" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Beauharnois Quebec" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.