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icon for Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canadá

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canadá

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Isabelle Blais 50%

Simon Allaire 50%

Nancy Mignault 26%

Marc-André Cloutier 25%

Polymarket
NOVO

Isabelle Blais 50%

Simon Allaire 50%

Nancy Mignault 26%

Marc-André Cloutier 25%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Isabelle Blais

Isabelle Blais

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Simon Allaire

Simon Allaire

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Nancy Mignault

Nancy Mignault

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Marc-André Cloutier

Marc-André Cloutier

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Simon Piotte

Simon Piotte

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight contest in Maskinongé reflects the broader neck-and-neck provincial race between the CAQ and PQ ahead of the October 5 election, combined with local candidate dynamics. Incumbent Simon Allaire reversed an earlier decision not to seek re-election and secured the CAQ nomination, while actress Isabelle Blais won the PQ nomination in April with strong local support. Recent riding projections show the PQ edging the CAQ on vote share, though the margin remains narrow amid vote splitting among the PLQ, QS, and PCQ candidates. Trader pricing at parity captures this uncertainty, with separation likely to emerge from early campaign momentum, regional polling shifts, or turnout patterns in the Mauricie area.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight contest in Maskinongé reflects the broader neck-and-neck provincial race between the CAQ and PQ ahead of the October 5 election, combined with local candidate dynamics. Incumbent Simon Allaire reversed an earlier decision not to seek re-election and secured the CAQ nomination, while actress Isabelle Blais won the PQ nomination in April with strong local support. Recent riding projections show the PQ edging the CAQ on vote share, though the margin remains narrow amid vote splitting among the PLQ, QS, and PCQ candidates. Trader pricing at parity captures this uncertainty, with separation likely to emerge from early campaign momentum, regional polling shifts, or turnout patterns in the Mauricie area.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Isabelle Blais" at 50%, followed by "Simon Allaire" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Isabelle Blais" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Simon Allaire" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.