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Navio previsões e probabilidades

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How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

79%

8–9

$247K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

3%

April 30

$193K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

3

Ends em 1 dia

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

1%

April 30

$4M Vol.

$52.2K Liq.

173

Ends há 28 dias

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2%

$137K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

6

Ends em 2 meses

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1%

$57.5K Vol.

$688 Liq.

4

Ends há 28 dias

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

9%

$2M Vol.

$85.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

14%

$278K Vol.

$54.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

14%

$630K Vol.

$67.9K Liq.

32

Ends em 8 meses

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

12%

$6.1K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

7%

$33.1K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

41%

$94.3K Vol.

$30.2K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?

53%

<2

$25 Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

19%

$171K Vol.

$28.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

4%

$487K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

10

Ends em 2 meses

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

8%

$87.0K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

9

Ends em 8 meses

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

9%

$11.7K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

8%

$51.0K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

3

Ends em 2 meses

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

3%

40+

$1M Vol.

$65.7K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)

80%

50-74

$221K Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

Ends há 2 dias

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

35%

50-74

$1.1K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Navio.

Polymarket currently hosts 138 active markets for Navio that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “China x Japan military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 1% chance to April 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Navio predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.