US forces conducted a brief special operations raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife before withdrawing within hours as part of Operation Absolute Resolve. Since then, relations have featured interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez, partial US sanctions relief tied to oil sector negotiations, and a May 2026 US military drill involving MV-22 Osprey landings near the embassy in Caracas that Venezuelan authorities authorized as an evacuation exercise. Regional naval deployments, counter-narcotics operations, and uncertainty over Venezuela’s political transition and energy arrangements continue to shape assessments of any follow-on ground or air entries by US personnel.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$1,327,473 Vol.
31 jan 2026
30 de junho
8%
$1,327,473 Vol.
30 de junho
$242,710 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a brief special operations raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife before withdrawing within hours as part of Operation Absolute Resolve. Since then, relations have featured interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez, partial US sanctions relief tied to oil sector negotiations, and a May 2026 US military drill involving MV-22 Osprey landings near the embassy in Caracas that Venezuelan authorities authorized as an evacuation exercise. Regional naval deployments, counter-narcotics operations, and uncertainty over Venezuela’s political transition and energy arrangements continue to shape assessments of any follow-on ground or air entries by US personnel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,327,473Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a brief special operations raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife before withdrawing within hours as part of Operation Absolute Resolve. Since then, relations have featured interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez, partial US sanctions relief tied to oil sector negotiations, and a May 2026 US military drill involving MV-22 Osprey landings near the embassy in Caracas that Venezuelan authorities authorized as an evacuation exercise. Regional naval deployments, counter-narcotics operations, and uncertainty over Venezuela’s political transition and energy arrangements continue to shape assessments of any follow-on ground or air entries by US personnel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,327,473Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces conducted a brief special operations raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife before withdrawing within hours as part of Operation Absolute Resolve. Since then, relations have featured interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez, partial US sanctions relief tied to oil sector negotiations, and a May 2026 US military drill involving MV-22 Osprey landings near the embassy in Caracas that Venezuelan authorities authorized as an evacuation exercise. Regional naval deployments, counter-narcotics operations, and uncertainty over Venezuela’s political transition and energy arrangements continue to shape assessments of any follow-on ground or air entries by US personnel.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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