Recent numerical weather models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Chengdu around 24–25°C on August 27, driven by persistent high humidity in the Sichuan Basin that restricts radiative cooling and moderate cloud cover or light showers that could trap heat. Typical late-August conditions feature daytime highs near 33–36°C with minimal wind, keeping the diurnal range narrow and making the exact minimum sensitive to small changes in precipitation timing or wind patterns. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–27°C because traders weigh this model consensus against historical August variability, where lows rarely drop below 22°C without stronger frontal systems. Updated CMA guidance and short-range model runs expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 27 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 27 de agosto?
22°C 48%
26°C 34%
27°C 30%
25°C 28%
NOVO
NOVO
27 ago 2026
20°C or below
9%
21°C
5%
22°C
48%
23°C
1%
24°C
25%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
30%
28°C
23%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
12%
22°C 48%
26°C 34%
27°C 30%
25°C 28%
NOVO
NOVO
27 ago 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
9%
21°C
$20 Vol.
5%
22°C
$135 Vol.
48%
23°C
$20 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
23%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Chengdu around 24–25°C on August 27, driven by persistent high humidity in the Sichuan Basin that restricts radiative cooling and moderate cloud cover or light showers that could trap heat. Typical late-August conditions feature daytime highs near 33–36°C with minimal wind, keeping the diurnal range narrow and making the exact minimum sensitive to small changes in precipitation timing or wind patterns. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–27°C because traders weigh this model consensus against historical August variability, where lows rarely drop below 22°C without stronger frontal systems. Updated CMA guidance and short-range model runs expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$190Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Chengdu around 24–25°C on August 27, driven by persistent high humidity in the Sichuan Basin that restricts radiative cooling and moderate cloud cover or light showers that could trap heat. Typical late-August conditions feature daytime highs near 33–36°C with minimal wind, keeping the diurnal range narrow and making the exact minimum sensitive to small changes in precipitation timing or wind patterns. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–27°C because traders weigh this model consensus against historical August variability, where lows rarely drop below 22°C without stronger frontal systems. Updated CMA guidance and short-range model runs expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$190Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Chengdu around 24–25°C on August 27, driven by persistent high humidity in the Sichuan Basin that restricts radiative cooling and moderate cloud cover or light showers that could trap heat. Typical late-August conditions feature daytime highs near 33–36°C with minimal wind, keeping the diurnal range narrow and making the exact minimum sensitive to small changes in precipitation timing or wind patterns. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–27°C because traders weigh this model consensus against historical August variability, where lows rarely drop below 22°C without stronger frontal systems. Updated CMA guidance and short-range model runs expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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