Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate Chicago's overnight low on August 24 will hover near the 64°F climatological normal, driven by typical late-summer high pressure, light winds, and minimal lake-effect moderation. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 62–66°F, though localized urban heat islands or brief radiational cooling could shift the precise minimum. This equilibrium explains the near-even market split between 66°F-or-higher and 47°F-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh small model divergences and historical precedent of occasional sub-60°F readings against the strong consensus for near-normal conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chicago em 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Chicago em 24 de agosto?
47°F ou menos 90%
66°F ou mais 42%
58-59°F 37%
48-49°F 30%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
47°F ou menos
90%
48-49°F
30%
50-51°F
30%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
24%
58-59°F
29%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
15%
66°F ou mais
42%
47°F ou menos 90%
66°F ou mais 42%
58-59°F 37%
48-49°F 30%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
47°F ou menos
$5 Vol.
90%
48-49°F
$5 Vol.
30%
50-51°F
$5 Vol.
30%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
16%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
19%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
24%
58-59°F
$5 Vol.
29%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
16%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
16%
64-65°F
$20 Vol.
15%
66°F ou mais
$15 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate Chicago's overnight low on August 24 will hover near the 64°F climatological normal, driven by typical late-summer high pressure, light winds, and minimal lake-effect moderation. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 62–66°F, though localized urban heat islands or brief radiational cooling could shift the precise minimum. This equilibrium explains the near-even market split between 66°F-or-higher and 47°F-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh small model divergences and historical precedent of occasional sub-60°F readings against the strong consensus for near-normal conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$45Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate Chicago's overnight low on August 24 will hover near the 64°F climatological normal, driven by typical late-summer high pressure, light winds, and minimal lake-effect moderation. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 62–66°F, though localized urban heat islands or brief radiational cooling could shift the precise minimum. This equilibrium explains the near-even market split between 66°F-or-higher and 47°F-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh small model divergences and historical precedent of occasional sub-60°F readings against the strong consensus for near-normal conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate Chicago's overnight low on August 24 will hover near the 64°F climatological normal, driven by typical late-summer high pressure, light winds, and minimal lake-effect moderation. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 62–66°F, though localized urban heat islands or brief radiational cooling could shift the precise minimum. This equilibrium explains the near-even market split between 66°F-or-higher and 47°F-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh small model divergences and historical precedent of occasional sub-60°F readings against the strong consensus for near-normal conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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