**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS indicate a most likely overnight low of 28–30°C for Jeddah on September 22, driven by typical Red Sea coastal conditions: clear skies, light winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling.** Recent observations through September 19–20 show consistent minima of 29–31°C with no synoptic shifts, such as stronger sea breezes or upper-level troughs, expected in the next 48 hours. The near-even market odds on the ≤25°C (50%) and ≥35°C (49%) buckets reflect trader hedging around forecast uncertainty ranges and resolution criteria rather than a high probability of extremes, which most ensembles place well below 10%. Minor model spread in dew point and boundary-layer mixing could nudge the exact minimum within the 27–31°C band, with final data from official stations determining resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jeddah em 22 de setembro?
25°C ou menos 100%
35°C ou mais 96%
31°C 50%
30°C 40%
25°C ou menos
100%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
40%
31°C
34%
32°C
39%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C ou mais
96%
25°C ou menos 100%
35°C ou mais 96%
31°C 50%
30°C 40%
25°C ou menos
100%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
40%
31°C
34%
32°C
39%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C ou mais
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS indicate a most likely overnight low of 28–30°C for Jeddah on September 22, driven by typical Red Sea coastal conditions: clear skies, light winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling.** Recent observations through September 19–20 show consistent minima of 29–31°C with no synoptic shifts, such as stronger sea breezes or upper-level troughs, expected in the next 48 hours. The near-even market odds on the ≤25°C (50%) and ≥35°C (49%) buckets reflect trader hedging around forecast uncertainty ranges and resolution criteria rather than a high probability of extremes, which most ensembles place well below 10%. Minor model spread in dew point and boundary-layer mixing could nudge the exact minimum within the 27–31°C band, with final data from official stations determining resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions