A strong heatwave driven by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection has elevated forecast overnight minima for London on June 23, 2026, to the 20–24 °C range according to the latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This positions the 20 °C outcome as the market leader because ensemble means cluster near that value, while residual model spread—particularly in boundary-layer humidity and cloud cover—keeps modest probabilities on both 24 °C or higher and slightly cooler 17–19 °C bins. Historical mid-June minima average 12–13 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the atypical persistence of the warm airmass rather than typical radiative cooling under clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 20 °C or edges toward the higher thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres em 23 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres em 23 de junho?
18°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$20,307 Vol.
$20,307 Vol.
23 jun 2026
14°C ou menos
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Sim
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C ou mais
Não
18°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$20,307 Vol.
$20,307 Vol.
23 jun 2026
14°C ou menos
$546 Vol.
Não
15°C
$1,009 Vol.
Não
16°C
$2,301 Vol.
Não
17°C
$2,122 Vol.
Não
18°C
$4,310 Vol.
Sim
19°C
$3,829 Vol.
Não
20°C
$3,279 Vol.
Não
21°C
$534 Vol.
Não
22°C
$649 Vol.
Não
23°C
$727 Vol.
Não
24°C ou mais
$999 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong heatwave driven by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection has elevated forecast overnight minima for London on June 23, 2026, to the 20–24 °C range according to the latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This positions the 20 °C outcome as the market leader because ensemble means cluster near that value, while residual model spread—particularly in boundary-layer humidity and cloud cover—keeps modest probabilities on both 24 °C or higher and slightly cooler 17–19 °C bins. Historical mid-June minima average 12–13 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the atypical persistence of the warm airmass rather than typical radiative cooling under clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 20 °C or edges toward the higher thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20,307Data de Término
23 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong heatwave driven by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection has elevated forecast overnight minima for London on June 23, 2026, to the 20–24 °C range according to the latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This positions the 20 °C outcome as the market leader because ensemble means cluster near that value, while residual model spread—particularly in boundary-layer humidity and cloud cover—keeps modest probabilities on both 24 °C or higher and slightly cooler 17–19 °C bins. Historical mid-June minima average 12–13 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the atypical persistence of the warm airmass rather than typical radiative cooling under clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 20 °C or edges toward the higher thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,307Data de Término
23 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
A strong heatwave driven by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection has elevated forecast overnight minima for London on June 23, 2026, to the 20–24 °C range according to the latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This positions the 20 °C outcome as the market leader because ensemble means cluster near that value, while residual model spread—particularly in boundary-layer humidity and cloud cover—keeps modest probabilities on both 24 °C or higher and slightly cooler 17–19 °C bins. Historical mid-June minima average 12–13 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the atypical persistence of the warm airmass rather than typical radiative cooling under clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 20 °C or edges toward the higher thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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