Recent weather model consensus from sources like the GFS indicates Munich will experience a mild overnight period on September 8, 2026, with lows likely ranging 15–18°C under partly clear skies and southerly flow, well above the long-term average low of 11.1°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on 12°C or below (54% implied probability) versus 13°C (30%), reflecting lingering uncertainty in model runs and potential for localized cooling or measurement variance at official stations. Historical September minima have occasionally dipped near 2°C, but current conditions and steering patterns favor milder outcomes, with resolution hinging on the verified daily minimum from monitoring agencies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Munique no dia 8 de setembro?
12°C ou menos 99.6%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C ou menos
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
12°C ou menos 99.6%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C ou menos
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources like the GFS indicates Munich will experience a mild overnight period on September 8, 2026, with lows likely ranging 15–18°C under partly clear skies and southerly flow, well above the long-term average low of 11.1°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on 12°C or below (54% implied probability) versus 13°C (30%), reflecting lingering uncertainty in model runs and potential for localized cooling or measurement variance at official stations. Historical September minima have occasionally dipped near 2°C, but current conditions and steering patterns favor milder outcomes, with resolution hinging on the verified daily minimum from monitoring agencies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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