Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models places NYC's minimum temperature on July 21 near 70–74 °F under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–75 °F bins. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the strength of the urban heat island effect around Central Park, while climatological norms for mid-July lows near 69 °F provide a baseline. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the realized minimum across the 2 °F resolution thresholds, keeping trader focus on updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles through tomorrow morning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 21 de julho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 21 de julho?
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F ou menos <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$14,246 Vol.
$14,246 Vol.
21 jul 2026
63°F ou menos
Não
64-65°F
Não
66-67°F
Não
68-69°F
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Sim
74–75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82°F ou mais
Não
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F ou menos <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$14,246 Vol.
$14,246 Vol.
21 jul 2026
63°F ou menos
$711 Vol.
Não
64-65°F
$1,801 Vol.
Não
66-67°F
$1,491 Vol.
Não
68-69°F
$817 Vol.
Não
70-71°F
$1,196 Vol.
Não
72-73°F
$2,366 Vol.
Sim
74–75°F
$3,304 Vol.
Não
76-77°F
$1,075 Vol.
Não
78-79°F
$681 Vol.
Não
80-81°F
$451 Vol.
Não
82°F ou mais
$354 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models places NYC's minimum temperature on July 21 near 70–74 °F under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–75 °F bins. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the strength of the urban heat island effect around Central Park, while climatological norms for mid-July lows near 69 °F provide a baseline. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the realized minimum across the 2 °F resolution thresholds, keeping trader focus on updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles through tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$14,246Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models places NYC's minimum temperature on July 21 near 70–74 °F under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–75 °F bins. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the strength of the urban heat island effect around Central Park, while climatological norms for mid-July lows near 69 °F provide a baseline. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the realized minimum across the 2 °F resolution thresholds, keeping trader focus on updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles through tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,246Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models places NYC's minimum temperature on July 21 near 70–74 °F under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–75 °F bins. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and the strength of the urban heat island effect around Central Park, while climatological norms for mid-July lows near 69 °F provide a baseline. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the realized minimum across the 2 °F resolution thresholds, keeping trader focus on updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles through tomorrow morning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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