Traders see the minimum temperature in New York City on July 3 clustered tightly in the mid-80s because short-range ensemble guidance shows limited overnight radiative cooling under a strong high-pressure ridge and elevated dew points. Clear to partly cloudy skies combined with light winds and the urban heat island effect are expected to keep surface temperatures from falling much below 82°F, while any increase in low-level moisture or thicker cloud cover could allow modest additional cooling into the upper 70s. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any nocturnal cloud development and boundary-layer mixing. Updated National Weather Service runs and higher-resolution guidance later today will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 3 de julho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 3 de julho?
80-81°F 100.0%
75°F ou menos <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$78,950 Vol.
$78,950 Vol.
3 jul 2026
75°F ou menos
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Sim
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
86-87°F
Não
88-89°F
Não
90-91°F
Não
92-93°F
Não
94°F ou mais
Não
80-81°F 100.0%
75°F ou menos <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$78,950 Vol.
$78,950 Vol.
3 jul 2026
75°F ou menos
$10,050 Vol.
Não
76-77°F
$3,854 Vol.
Não
78-79°F
$4,372 Vol.
Não
80-81°F
$9,207 Vol.
Sim
82-83°F
$16,012 Vol.
Não
84-85°F
$6,954 Vol.
Não
86-87°F
$17,329 Vol.
Não
88-89°F
$2,429 Vol.
Não
90-91°F
$1,815 Vol.
Não
92-93°F
$3,239 Vol.
Não
94°F ou mais
$3,691 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the minimum temperature in New York City on July 3 clustered tightly in the mid-80s because short-range ensemble guidance shows limited overnight radiative cooling under a strong high-pressure ridge and elevated dew points. Clear to partly cloudy skies combined with light winds and the urban heat island effect are expected to keep surface temperatures from falling much below 82°F, while any increase in low-level moisture or thicker cloud cover could allow modest additional cooling into the upper 70s. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any nocturnal cloud development and boundary-layer mixing. Updated National Weather Service runs and higher-resolution guidance later today will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 1, 2026, 10:30 PM ET
Volume
$78,950Data de Término
3 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 10:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the minimum temperature in New York City on July 3 clustered tightly in the mid-80s because short-range ensemble guidance shows limited overnight radiative cooling under a strong high-pressure ridge and elevated dew points. Clear to partly cloudy skies combined with light winds and the urban heat island effect are expected to keep surface temperatures from falling much below 82°F, while any increase in low-level moisture or thicker cloud cover could allow modest additional cooling into the upper 70s. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any nocturnal cloud development and boundary-layer mixing. Updated National Weather Service runs and higher-resolution guidance later today will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$78,950Data de Término
3 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 10:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Traders see the minimum temperature in New York City on July 3 clustered tightly in the mid-80s because short-range ensemble guidance shows limited overnight radiative cooling under a strong high-pressure ridge and elevated dew points. Clear to partly cloudy skies combined with light winds and the urban heat island effect are expected to keep surface temperatures from falling much below 82°F, while any increase in low-level moisture or thicker cloud cover could allow modest additional cooling into the upper 70s. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any nocturnal cloud development and boundary-layer mixing. Updated National Weather Service runs and higher-resolution guidance later today will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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