National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance confirmed an overnight low of 54–55°F for New York City on May 25, 2026, driven by mild southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and minimal radiational cooling under a weak pressure gradient. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for late May, when average lows hover near 61°F but can dip into the mid-50s with limited clear-sky nighttime cooling. The market-implied consensus at 100% for the 54–55°F bin reflects traders’ confidence in the official daily minimum from the National Weather Service Climatological Report. A shift would require an unexpected revision in verified station data or measurement methodology, both of which remain stable once finalized.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 25 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 25 de maio?
54-55°F 100.0%
47°F ou menos <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$20,462 Vol.
$20,462 Vol.
25 mai 2026
47°F ou menos
Não
48-49°F
Não
50-51°F
Não
52-53°F
Não
54-55°F
Sim
56-57°F
Não
58-59°F
Não
60-61°F
Não
62-63°F
Não
64-65°F
Não
66°F ou mais
Não
54-55°F 100.0%
47°F ou menos <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$20,462 Vol.
$20,462 Vol.
25 mai 2026
47°F ou menos
$4,678 Vol.
Não
48-49°F
$671 Vol.
Não
50-51°F
$867 Vol.
Não
52-53°F
$1,494 Vol.
Não
54-55°F
$2,126 Vol.
Sim
56-57°F
$1,559 Vol.
Não
58-59°F
$980 Vol.
Não
60-61°F
$2,174 Vol.
Não
62-63°F
$1,082 Vol.
Não
64-65°F
$1,399 Vol.
Não
66°F ou mais
$3,433 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance confirmed an overnight low of 54–55°F for New York City on May 25, 2026, driven by mild southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and minimal radiational cooling under a weak pressure gradient. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for late May, when average lows hover near 61°F but can dip into the mid-50s with limited clear-sky nighttime cooling. The market-implied consensus at 100% for the 54–55°F bin reflects traders’ confidence in the official daily minimum from the National Weather Service Climatological Report. A shift would require an unexpected revision in verified station data or measurement methodology, both of which remain stable once finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$20,462Data de Término
25 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance confirmed an overnight low of 54–55°F for New York City on May 25, 2026, driven by mild southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and minimal radiational cooling under a weak pressure gradient. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for late May, when average lows hover near 61°F but can dip into the mid-50s with limited clear-sky nighttime cooling. The market-implied consensus at 100% for the 54–55°F bin reflects traders’ confidence in the official daily minimum from the National Weather Service Climatological Report. A shift would require an unexpected revision in verified station data or measurement methodology, both of which remain stable once finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,462Data de Término
25 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance confirmed an overnight low of 54–55°F for New York City on May 25, 2026, driven by mild southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and minimal radiational cooling under a weak pressure gradient. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for late May, when average lows hover near 61°F but can dip into the mid-50s with limited clear-sky nighttime cooling. The market-implied consensus at 100% for the 54–55°F bin reflects traders’ confidence in the official daily minimum from the National Weather Service Climatological Report. A shift would require an unexpected revision in verified station data or measurement methodology, both of which remain stable once finalized.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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