Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 3 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 3 de maio?
15°C 100.0%
11°C ou menos <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$19,371 Vol.
$19,371 Vol.
3 mai 2026
11°C ou menos
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Sim
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C ou mais
Não
15°C 100.0%
11°C ou menos <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$19,371 Vol.
$19,371 Vol.
3 mai 2026
11°C ou menos
$1,804 Vol.
Não
12°C
$1,990 Vol.
Não
13°C
$2,147 Vol.
Não
14°C
$846 Vol.
Não
15°C
$1,331 Vol.
Sim
16°C
$349 Vol.
Não
17°C
$740 Vol.
Não
18°C
$8,609 Vol.
Não
19°C
$217 Vol.
Não
20°C
$388 Vol.
Não
21°C ou mais
$950 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$19,371Data de Término
3 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,371Data de Término
3 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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