Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a Shenzhen minimum near 26°C on September 7 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon pattern. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated dew points near 25°C support overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. Model runs show modest spread due to variable steering flows and potential for localized clearing that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 24–25°C or, conversely, sustained moisture trapping heat near 27°C. With resolution two days away, trader odds remain closely balanced across the 22–32°C range as new observational data and updated model guidance could shift the exact minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 7 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 7 de setembro?
22°C ou menos 60%
32°C ou mais 59%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
22°C ou menos
60%
23°C
14%
24°C
49%
25°C
28%
26°C
35%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
19%
31°C
2%
32°C ou mais
59%
22°C ou menos 60%
32°C ou mais 59%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$5 Vol.
60%
23°C
$25 Vol.
14%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a Shenzhen minimum near 26°C on September 7 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon pattern. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated dew points near 25°C support overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. Model runs show modest spread due to variable steering flows and potential for localized clearing that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 24–25°C or, conversely, sustained moisture trapping heat near 27°C. With resolution two days away, trader odds remain closely balanced across the 22–32°C range as new observational data and updated model guidance could shift the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$30Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a Shenzhen minimum near 26°C on September 7 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon pattern. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated dew points near 25°C support overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. Model runs show modest spread due to variable steering flows and potential for localized clearing that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 24–25°C or, conversely, sustained moisture trapping heat near 27°C. With resolution two days away, trader odds remain closely balanced across the 22–32°C range as new observational data and updated model guidance could shift the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a Shenzhen minimum near 26°C on September 7 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon pattern. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated dew points near 25°C support overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. Model runs show modest spread due to variable steering flows and potential for localized clearing that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 24–25°C or, conversely, sustained moisture trapping heat near 27°C. With resolution two days away, trader odds remain closely balanced across the 22–32°C range as new observational data and updated model guidance could shift the exact minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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