Confirmed Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) surface observations at Tokyo stations, including Haneda Airport, recorded the daily minimum temperature of 14°C during early morning hours on April 22 under partly cloudy skies and mild southerly winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly readings show subsequent daytime warming amid stable high-pressure influence, preventing further drops, aligning with resolved forecast model ensembles from JMA and ECMWF that initially varied slightly around 14–15°C due to cloud cover uncertainties. Mid-April climatological norms place average lows near 11°C, but current mild conditions support the positioning. Rare challenges like data revisions or anomalous late cooling remain improbable, with JMA's final daily summary pending.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 22 de abril?
14°C 100.0%
10°C ou menos <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$76,043 Vol.
$76,043 Vol.
10°C ou menos
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Sim
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C ou mais
Não
14°C 100.0%
10°C ou menos <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$76,043 Vol.
$76,043 Vol.
10°C ou menos
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Sim
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Confirmed Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) surface observations at Tokyo stations, including Haneda Airport, recorded the daily minimum temperature of 14°C during early morning hours on April 22 under partly cloudy skies and mild southerly winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly readings show subsequent daytime warming amid stable high-pressure influence, preventing further drops, aligning with resolved forecast model ensembles from JMA and ECMWF that initially varied slightly around 14–15°C due to cloud cover uncertainties. Mid-April climatological norms place average lows near 11°C, but current mild conditions support the positioning. Rare challenges like data revisions or anomalous late cooling remain improbable, with JMA's final daily summary pending.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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