Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight mixture-of-experts large language model with native vision and a 1-million-token context window—has anchored trader sentiment on the next Kimi K release. The hosted version debuted July 16 and full weights followed July 27, delivering frontier-level results on coding, agentic, and frontend benchmarks while undercutting some closed models on price. Moonshot’s prior cadence (K2.6 in April, K2.7 Code in June) plus its $500 million Series C funding supports expectations of continued rapid iteration. Recent Anthropic accusations of model distillation add regulatory and competitive scrutiny that could influence development timelines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo modelo Kimi K lançado por...?
Próximo modelo Kimi K lançado por...?
$17,031 Vol.
15 set 2026
15 de setembro de 2026
5%
30 de setembro de 2026
64%
31 de dezembro de 2026
99%
$17,031 Vol.
15 de setembro de 2026
$2,397 Vol.
5%
30 de setembro de 2026
$10,519 Vol.
64%
31 de dezembro de 2026
$2,188 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight mixture-of-experts large language model with native vision and a 1-million-token context window—has anchored trader sentiment on the next Kimi K release. The hosted version debuted July 16 and full weights followed July 27, delivering frontier-level results on coding, agentic, and frontend benchmarks while undercutting some closed models on price. Moonshot’s prior cadence (K2.6 in April, K2.7 Code in June) plus its $500 million Series C funding supports expectations of continued rapid iteration. Recent Anthropic accusations of model distillation add regulatory and competitive scrutiny that could influence development timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Volume
$17,031Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight mixture-of-experts large language model with native vision and a 1-million-token context window—has anchored trader sentiment on the next Kimi K release. The hosted version debuted July 16 and full weights followed July 27, delivering frontier-level results on coding, agentic, and frontend benchmarks while undercutting some closed models on price. Moonshot’s prior cadence (K2.6 in April, K2.7 Code in June) plus its $500 million Series C funding supports expectations of continued rapid iteration. Recent Anthropic accusations of model distillation add regulatory and competitive scrutiny that could influence development timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$17,031Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight mixture-of-experts large language model with native vision and a 1-million-token context window—has anchored trader sentiment on the next Kimi K release. The hosted version debuted July 16 and full weights followed July 27, delivering frontier-level results on coding, agentic, and frontend benchmarks while undercutting some closed models on price. Moonshot’s prior cadence (K2.6 in April, K2.7 Code in June) plus its $500 million Series C funding supports expectations of continued rapid iteration. Recent Anthropic accusations of model distillation add regulatory and competitive scrutiny that could influence development timelines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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