Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 57% implied probability for the March "Nothing Ever Happens" market, reflecting the absence of any specified triggers by March 31 despite elevated risks. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 18 FOMC meeting amid stable inflation, defying cut expectations. U.S.-Israel airstrikes degraded Iran's capabilities after Supreme Leader Khamenei's death, but DNI assessments deemed the regime intact, averting collapse. President Trump invoked neither an election interference national emergency nor the Insurrection Act amid massive "No Kings" protests on March 28 drawing millions nationwide. The SAVE Act stalled in the Senate, short of 60 votes to overcome filibuster. Lingering ambiguity surrounds Texas Senate primaries—Talarico secured the Democratic nomination March 4, but Cornyn's 41.9% GOP primary showing forces a May 26 runoff with Paxton—pending UMA oracle clarification on their general election candidacy status, keeping the market open.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNada
$338,110 Vol.
$338,110 Vol.
Nada
$338,110 Vol.
$338,110 Vol.
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 57% implied probability for the March "Nothing Ever Happens" market, reflecting the absence of any specified triggers by March 31 despite elevated risks. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 18 FOMC meeting amid stable inflation, defying cut expectations. U.S.-Israel airstrikes degraded Iran's capabilities after Supreme Leader Khamenei's death, but DNI assessments deemed the regime intact, averting collapse. President Trump invoked neither an election interference national emergency nor the Insurrection Act amid massive "No Kings" protests on March 28 drawing millions nationwide. The SAVE Act stalled in the Senate, short of 60 votes to overcome filibuster. Lingering ambiguity surrounds Texas Senate primaries—Talarico secured the Democratic nomination March 4, but Cornyn's 41.9% GOP primary showing forces a May 26 runoff with Paxton—pending UMA oracle clarification on their general election candidacy status, keeping the market open.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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