Trader consensus favors the 2.2M-2.4M range at 57.5% implied probability for April 8 TSA screenings, reflecting a projected post-Easter normalization after record spring break surges, where daily volumes hit 2.7M on April 6 and averaged over 2.5M from April 1-6 amid 171 million projected March-April passengers. The nearby 2.0M-2.2M bin at 46.5% captures caution over potential staffing strains and holiday tail-off, echoing April 1's 2.36M Tuesday figure, while higher brackets like >2.6M (30.5%) account for lingering vacation momentum at hubs like Atlanta expecting 8.3M monthly passengers. Lower outcomes remain marginal (<1.8M at 0.5%) given sustained travel boom; watch TSA's daily 9 a.m. update for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado<1.8M <1%
1.8M-2.0M 0
2.0M-2.2M 0
2.2M-2.4M 0
$1,511 Vol.
$1,511 Vol.
<1.8M
1%
1.8M-2.0M
-
2.0M-2.2M
46%
2.2M-2.4M
66%
2.4M-2.6M
39%
>2.6M
-
<1.8M <1%
1.8M-2.0M 0
2.0M-2.2M 0
2.2M-2.4M 0
$1,511 Vol.
$1,511 Vol.
<1.8M
1%
1.8M-2.0M
-
2.0M-2.2M
46%
2.2M-2.4M
66%
2.4M-2.6M
39%
>2.6M
-
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors the 2.2M-2.4M range at 57.5% implied probability for April 8 TSA screenings, reflecting a projected post-Easter normalization after record spring break surges, where daily volumes hit 2.7M on April 6 and averaged over 2.5M from April 1-6 amid 171 million projected March-April passengers. The nearby 2.0M-2.2M bin at 46.5% captures caution over potential staffing strains and holiday tail-off, echoing April 1's 2.36M Tuesday figure, while higher brackets like >2.6M (30.5%) account for lingering vacation momentum at hubs like Atlanta expecting 8.3M monthly passengers. Lower outcomes remain marginal (<1.8M at 0.5%) given sustained travel boom; watch TSA's daily 9 a.m. update for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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