Trader consensus on April 9 TSA checkpoint passenger volumes remains tightly split, with >2.8 million and 2.4M-2.6M outcomes both at 49.5%, reflecting uncertainty in the spring break travel surge's tail end amid lingering TSA staffing shortages from the recent partial government shutdown, which led to over 450 officer quits and recruitment lags. Daily throughput has fluctuated recently—2.71 million on Thursday, April 2; 2.71 million on Monday, April 6; averaging 2.54 million over the past week—falling short of Airlines for America’s 2.8 million daily March-April forecast despite record 171 million passengers projected. A weather event, airline capacity adjustments, or post-spring break demand drop could tip volumes toward lower bins, while sustained leisure travel might push above 2.8 million.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNumber of TSA Passengers April 9?
Number of TSA Passengers April 9?
2.6M-2.8M 88%
>2.8M 24%
2.2M-2.4M 23%
2.0M-2.2M 1.4%
NOVO
NOVO
9 abr 2026
<2.0M
1%
2.0M-2.2M
1%
2.2M-2.4M
23%
2.4M-2.6M
24%
2.6M-2.8M
71%
>2.8M
24%
2.6M-2.8M 88%
>2.8M 24%
2.2M-2.4M 23%
2.0M-2.2M 1.4%
NOVO
NOVO
9 abr 2026
<2.0M
$132 Vol.
1%
2.0M-2.2M
$83 Vol.
1%
2.2M-2.4M
$56 Vol.
23%
2.4M-2.6M
$45 Vol.
24%
2.6M-2.8M
$98 Vol.
71%
>2.8M
$45 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 9, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on April 9 TSA checkpoint passenger volumes remains tightly split, with >2.8 million and 2.4M-2.6M outcomes both at 49.5%, reflecting uncertainty in the spring break travel surge's tail end amid lingering TSA staffing shortages from the recent partial government shutdown, which led to over 450 officer quits and recruitment lags. Daily throughput has fluctuated recently—2.71 million on Thursday, April 2; 2.71 million on Monday, April 6; averaging 2.54 million over the past week—falling short of Airlines for America’s 2.8 million daily March-April forecast despite record 171 million passengers projected. A weather event, airline capacity adjustments, or post-spring break demand drop could tip volumes toward lower bins, while sustained leisure travel might push above 2.8 million.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 9, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volume
$457Data de Término
9 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 4:29 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 9, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on April 9 TSA checkpoint passenger volumes remains tightly split, with >2.8 million and 2.4M-2.6M outcomes both at 49.5%, reflecting uncertainty in the spring break travel surge's tail end amid lingering TSA staffing shortages from the recent partial government shutdown, which led to over 450 officer quits and recruitment lags. Daily throughput has fluctuated recently—2.71 million on Thursday, April 2; 2.71 million on Monday, April 6; averaging 2.54 million over the past week—falling short of Airlines for America’s 2.8 million daily March-April forecast despite record 171 million passengers projected. A weather event, airline capacity adjustments, or post-spring break demand drop could tip volumes toward lower bins, while sustained leisure travel might push above 2.8 million.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 9, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$457Data de Término
9 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 4:29 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on April 9 TSA checkpoint passenger volumes remains tightly split, with >2.8 million and 2.4M-2.6M outcomes both at 49.5%, reflecting uncertainty in the spring break travel surge's tail end amid lingering TSA staffing shortages from the recent partial government shutdown, which led to over 450 officer quits and recruitment lags. Daily throughput has fluctuated recently—2.71 million on Thursday, April 2; 2.71 million on Monday, April 6; averaging 2.54 million over the past week—falling short of Airlines for America’s 2.8 million daily March-April forecast despite record 171 million passengers projected. A weather event, airline capacity adjustments, or post-spring break demand drop could tip volumes toward lower bins, while sustained leisure travel might push above 2.8 million.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions