Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67% implied probability for April 10 TSA passenger throughput falling in the 2.6M-2.8M range, reflecting steady recent daily volumes amid post-Easter spring break demand. Latest TSA data shows April 6 at 2.71 million (down 7.6% year-over-year), April 5 Easter Sunday at 2.56 million, April 3 at 2.66 million, and April 2 at 2.71 million, stabilizing in this band after weekend dips like April 4's 2.27 million. Ongoing travel surge—projected 171 million passengers March-April—supports elevated levels despite government shutdown staffing strains causing delays, with lower bins gaining traction only if disruptions intensify. Key watch: April 7-8 releases for Thursday momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado2.6M-2.8M 84%
2.8M-3.0M 25%
2.4M-2.6M 23%
2.2M-2.4M 22%
<2.2M
2%
2.2M-2.4M
22%
2.4M-2.6M
23%
2.6M-2.8M
66%
2.8M-3.0M
25%
>3.0M
<1%
2.6M-2.8M 84%
2.8M-3.0M 25%
2.4M-2.6M 23%
2.2M-2.4M 22%
<2.2M
2%
2.2M-2.4M
22%
2.4M-2.6M
23%
2.6M-2.8M
66%
2.8M-3.0M
25%
>3.0M
<1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67% implied probability for April 10 TSA passenger throughput falling in the 2.6M-2.8M range, reflecting steady recent daily volumes amid post-Easter spring break demand. Latest TSA data shows April 6 at 2.71 million (down 7.6% year-over-year), April 5 Easter Sunday at 2.56 million, April 3 at 2.66 million, and April 2 at 2.71 million, stabilizing in this band after weekend dips like April 4's 2.27 million. Ongoing travel surge—projected 171 million passengers March-April—supports elevated levels despite government shutdown staffing strains causing delays, with lower bins gaining traction only if disruptions intensify. Key watch: April 7-8 releases for Thursday momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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