Oura’s May 2026 confidential S-1 filing and continued revenue doubling—projected near $1.5–2 billion for 2026 versus $500 million in 2024—anchor trader sentiment around the $10–20 billion closing market-cap range, with the $20 billion-plus outcome leading at 15.5 percent implied probability. Last year’s $900 million Series E at an $11 billion valuation, underwritten by Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan, sets the base, yet strong wearable demand competes with execution risks, potential 2026 IPO-market volatility, and comparable multiples that could compress or expand final pricing. The tight spread across buckets, including 12.8 percent on no IPO before January 2027, reflects uncertainty over timing, 2026 results, and broader equity sentiment as catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$20B+ 16%
$10B–$12.5B 14%
No IPO before January 2027 12.8%
$15B–$17.5B 12%
$170,803 Vol.
$170,803 Vol.
1 jan 2027
<$7.5B
8%
$7.5B–$10B
11%
$10B–$12.5B
14%
$12.5B–$15B
11%
$15B–$17.5B
12%
$17.5B–$20B
12%
$20B+
16%
No IPO before January 2027
13%
$20B+ 16%
$10B–$12.5B 14%
No IPO before January 2027 12.8%
$15B–$17.5B 12%
$170,803 Vol.
$170,803 Vol.
1 jan 2027
<$7.5B
$18,957 Vol.
8%
$7.5B–$10B
$27,466 Vol.
11%
$10B–$12.5B
$22,283 Vol.
14%
$12.5B–$15B
$49,969 Vol.
11%
$15B–$17.5B
$13,741 Vol.
12%
$17.5B–$20B
$16,657 Vol.
12%
$20B+
$16,430 Vol.
16%
No IPO before January 2027
$5,299 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura’s May 2026 confidential S-1 filing and continued revenue doubling—projected near $1.5–2 billion for 2026 versus $500 million in 2024—anchor trader sentiment around the $10–20 billion closing market-cap range, with the $20 billion-plus outcome leading at 15.5 percent implied probability. Last year’s $900 million Series E at an $11 billion valuation, underwritten by Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan, sets the base, yet strong wearable demand competes with execution risks, potential 2026 IPO-market volatility, and comparable multiples that could compress or expand final pricing. The tight spread across buckets, including 12.8 percent on no IPO before January 2027, reflects uncertainty over timing, 2026 results, and broader equity sentiment as catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$170,803Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura’s May 2026 confidential S-1 filing and continued revenue doubling—projected near $1.5–2 billion for 2026 versus $500 million in 2024—anchor trader sentiment around the $10–20 billion closing market-cap range, with the $20 billion-plus outcome leading at 15.5 percent implied probability. Last year’s $900 million Series E at an $11 billion valuation, underwritten by Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan, sets the base, yet strong wearable demand competes with execution risks, potential 2026 IPO-market volatility, and comparable multiples that could compress or expand final pricing. The tight spread across buckets, including 12.8 percent on no IPO before January 2027, reflects uncertainty over timing, 2026 results, and broader equity sentiment as catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$170,803Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura’s May 2026 confidential S-1 filing and continued revenue doubling—projected near $1.5–2 billion for 2026 versus $500 million in 2024—anchor trader sentiment around the $10–20 billion closing market-cap range, with the $20 billion-plus outcome leading at 15.5 percent implied probability. Last year’s $900 million Series E at an $11 billion valuation, underwritten by Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan, sets the base, yet strong wearable demand competes with execution risks, potential 2026 IPO-market volatility, and comparable multiples that could compress or expand final pricing. The tight spread across buckets, including 12.8 percent on no IPO before January 2027, reflects uncertainty over timing, 2026 results, and broader equity sentiment as catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
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O valor de mercado da Anthropic será de US$600 bilhões ou mais no fechamento do mercado no dia do IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027?
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions