Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation, holds the strongest position among traders due to her established state apparatus, broad coalition spanning MDB, PT, PSD, Republicanos and allied federations, and continuity of prior administration priorities. Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), the former Ananindeua mayor and primary challenger, trails in market pricing despite competitive polling that has shown swings between the two in recent weeks. Other registered candidates, including Araceli Lemos (PSOL), Well Macedo (PSTU) and minor contenders, register negligible support consistent with their limited visibility and organizational reach ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader consensus reflects the structural edge of incumbency and coalition breadth over fluctuating survey results in the final campaign stretch.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHana Ghassan 66%
Dr. Daniel Santos 32%
Éder Mauro <1%
Zequinha Marinho <1%
$49,152 Vol.
$49,152 Vol.
4 out 2026
Hana Ghassan
66%
Dr. Daniel Santos
32%
Éder Mauro
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Paulo Rocha
<1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Hana Ghassan 66%
Dr. Daniel Santos 32%
Éder Mauro <1%
Zequinha Marinho <1%
$49,152 Vol.
$49,152 Vol.
4 out 2026
Hana Ghassan
$18,640 Vol.
66%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$13,136 Vol.
32%
Éder Mauro
$5,467 Vol.
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
$2,947 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Barra
$2,998 Vol.
<1%
Paulo Rocha
$2,980 Vol.
<1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$2,985 Vol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation, holds the strongest position among traders due to her established state apparatus, broad coalition spanning MDB, PT, PSD, Republicanos and allied federations, and continuity of prior administration priorities. Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), the former Ananindeua mayor and primary challenger, trails in market pricing despite competitive polling that has shown swings between the two in recent weeks. Other registered candidates, including Araceli Lemos (PSOL), Well Macedo (PSTU) and minor contenders, register negligible support consistent with their limited visibility and organizational reach ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader consensus reflects the structural edge of incumbency and coalition breadth over fluctuating survey results in the final campaign stretch.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Volume
$49,152Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation, holds the strongest position among traders due to her established state apparatus, broad coalition spanning MDB, PT, PSD, Republicanos and allied federations, and continuity of prior administration priorities. Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), the former Ananindeua mayor and primary challenger, trails in market pricing despite competitive polling that has shown swings between the two in recent weeks. Other registered candidates, including Araceli Lemos (PSOL), Well Macedo (PSTU) and minor contenders, register negligible support consistent with their limited visibility and organizational reach ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader consensus reflects the structural edge of incumbency and coalition breadth over fluctuating survey results in the final campaign stretch.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$49,152Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation, holds the strongest position among traders due to her established state apparatus, broad coalition spanning MDB, PT, PSD, Republicanos and allied federations, and continuity of prior administration priorities. Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), the former Ananindeua mayor and primary challenger, trails in market pricing despite competitive polling that has shown swings between the two in recent weeks. Other registered candidates, including Araceli Lemos (PSOL), Well Macedo (PSTU) and minor contenders, register negligible support consistent with their limited visibility and organizational reach ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader consensus reflects the structural edge of incumbency and coalition breadth over fluctuating survey results in the final campaign stretch.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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