**Trader consensus heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 64% implied probability**, reflecting CEO Aravind Srinivas’s repeated public commitment to that timeline as the earliest feasible window. The AI search startup continues executing as a private company, with annualized revenue surging past $750 million from under $250 million earlier in 2026, fueled by growth in its Perplexity Computer agent product. Recent reports of Nvidia-led funding discussions targeting a valuation above $30 billion—up more than 50% from the prior $20 billion round—underscore strong investor appetite while the firm remains private. Lower probabilities across all market-cap buckets if an IPO occurs align with the absence of any S-1 filing and the company’s focus on scaling unit economics ahead of a 2028 debut. Key near-term catalysts include completion of the potential Nvidia round and performance of peer AI listings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoValor de mercado de fechamento de IPO de perplexidade
Valor de mercado de fechamento de IPO de perplexidade
Sem IPO antes de 2028 64%
<20B 7.8%
50B–75B 7.2%
75B–100B 6.8%
$147,414 Vol.
$147,414 Vol.
30 dez 2027
<20B
8%
20B–30B
5%
30B–40B
5%
40B–50B
2%
50B–75B
7%
75B–100B
7%
Acima de $100B
5%
Sem IPO antes de 2028
64%
Sem IPO antes de 2028 64%
<20B 7.8%
50B–75B 7.2%
75B–100B 6.8%
$147,414 Vol.
$147,414 Vol.
30 dez 2027
<20B
$4,881 Vol.
8%
20B–30B
$7,893 Vol.
5%
30B–40B
$4,860 Vol.
5%
40B–50B
$4,595 Vol.
2%
50B–75B
$6,893 Vol.
7%
75B–100B
$3,857 Vol.
7%
Acima de $100B
$5,408 Vol.
5%
Sem IPO antes de 2028
$109,028 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Trader consensus heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 64% implied probability**, reflecting CEO Aravind Srinivas’s repeated public commitment to that timeline as the earliest feasible window. The AI search startup continues executing as a private company, with annualized revenue surging past $750 million from under $250 million earlier in 2026, fueled by growth in its Perplexity Computer agent product. Recent reports of Nvidia-led funding discussions targeting a valuation above $30 billion—up more than 50% from the prior $20 billion round—underscore strong investor appetite while the firm remains private. Lower probabilities across all market-cap buckets if an IPO occurs align with the absence of any S-1 filing and the company’s focus on scaling unit economics ahead of a 2028 debut. Key near-term catalysts include completion of the potential Nvidia round and performance of peer AI listings.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$147,414Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Trader consensus heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 64% implied probability**, reflecting CEO Aravind Srinivas’s repeated public commitment to that timeline as the earliest feasible window. The AI search startup continues executing as a private company, with annualized revenue surging past $750 million from under $250 million earlier in 2026, fueled by growth in its Perplexity Computer agent product. Recent reports of Nvidia-led funding discussions targeting a valuation above $30 billion—up more than 50% from the prior $20 billion round—underscore strong investor appetite while the firm remains private. Lower probabilities across all market-cap buckets if an IPO occurs align with the absence of any S-1 filing and the company’s focus on scaling unit economics ahead of a 2028 debut. Key near-term catalysts include completion of the potential Nvidia round and performance of peer AI listings.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$147,414Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 64% implied probability**, reflecting CEO Aravind Srinivas’s repeated public commitment to that timeline as the earliest feasible window. The AI search startup continues executing as a private company, with annualized revenue surging past $750 million from under $250 million earlier in 2026, fueled by growth in its Perplexity Computer agent product. Recent reports of Nvidia-led funding discussions targeting a valuation above $30 billion—up more than 50% from the prior $20 billion round—underscore strong investor appetite while the firm remains private. Lower probabilities across all market-cap buckets if an IPO occurs align with the absence of any S-1 filing and the company’s focus on scaling unit economics ahead of a 2028 debut. Key near-term catalysts include completion of the potential Nvidia round and performance of peer AI listings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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