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icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tecnologia·IA

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tecnologia·IA

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

jan 1, 2027

jan 1, 2027

$36,372 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$36,372 Vol.

Polymarket

San Diego, CA

$4,331 Vol.

90%

Las Vegas, NV

$4,713 Vol.

87%

Denver, CO

$3,498 Vol.

79%

Tampa, FL

$2,781 Vol.

82%

New Orleans, LA

$675 Vol.

16%

Tokyo, Japan

$482 Vol.

13%

Baltimore, MD

$1,208 Vol.

14%

Detroit, MI

$934 Vol.

13%

London, UK

$758 Vol.

9%

Pittsburgh, PA

$857 Vol.

8%

Washington, DC

$1,602 Vol.

8%

New York, NY

$1,664 Vol.

8%

Minneapolis, MN

$2,394 Vol.

7%

Seattle, WA

$603 Vol.

7%

Boston, MA

$4,000 Vol.

6%

Portland, OR

$2,566 Vol.

6%

Charlotte, NC

$498 Vol.

37%

Chicago, IL

$843 Vol.

47%

Philadelphia, PA

$164 Vol.

47%

Sacramento, CA

$1,746 Vol.

48%

St. Louis, MO

$56 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s accelerated U.S. rollout, driven by its sixth-generation Waymo Driver and the cost-effective Ojai minivan built on Zeekr platforms, has pushed commercial driverless service into 15 metros by mid-September 2026, with recent public launches in Denver, San Diego, Tampa, and Las Vegas following regulatory approvals and employee-only testing. The company’s stated target of one million weekly paid rides by year-end supports further domestic scaling, while London remains the clearest near-term international catalyst with a targeted fully autonomous commercial launch by December 31. Mapping and validation continue in additional U.S. markets such as Detroit, amid competition from Tesla Robotaxi and Zoox, though regulatory timelines and fleet ramp-up in new geographies introduce execution risk for any final 2026 additions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,372
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s accelerated U.S. rollout, driven by its sixth-generation Waymo Driver and the cost-effective Ojai minivan built on Zeekr platforms, has pushed commercial driverless service into 15 metros by mid-September 2026, with recent public launches in Denver, San Diego, Tampa, and Las Vegas following regulatory approvals and employee-only testing. The company’s stated target of one million weekly paid rides by year-end supports further domestic scaling, while London remains the clearest near-term international catalyst with a targeted fully autonomous commercial launch by December 31. Mapping and validation continue in additional U.S. markets such as Detroit, amid competition from Tesla Robotaxi and Zoox, though regulatory timelines and fleet ramp-up in new geographies introduce execution risk for any final 2026 additions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,372
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "San Diego, CA" at 90%, followed by "Las Vegas, NV" at 87%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" has generated $36.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" is "San Diego, CA" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Las Vegas, NV" at 87%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.