**The 89.5% trader consensus against H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 stems primarily from repeated Senate procedural barriers.** The bill, which would mandate documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House narrowly in April 2025 and again in February 2026 (218-213). It has since stalled in the Senate, where Republicans hold a 53-seat majority but lack the 60 votes needed to invoke cloture and overcome a filibuster. Recent developments reinforce this outlook. A June 2026 attempt to attach related provisions to a DHS funding bill failed when several Republicans joined Democrats in opposition. With no Democratic support emerging and insufficient GOP backing to alter Senate rules, identical passage by both chambers before December 31, 2026, appears unlikely. Traders view these legislative dynamics and the absence of viable bypass mechanisms as the dominant factors sustaining elevated “No” odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$168,367 Vol.
$168,367 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$168,367 Vol.
$168,367 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The 89.5% trader consensus against H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 stems primarily from repeated Senate procedural barriers.** The bill, which would mandate documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House narrowly in April 2025 and again in February 2026 (218-213). It has since stalled in the Senate, where Republicans hold a 53-seat majority but lack the 60 votes needed to invoke cloture and overcome a filibuster.
Recent developments reinforce this outlook. A June 2026 attempt to attach related provisions to a DHS funding bill failed when several Republicans joined Democrats in opposition. With no Democratic support emerging and insufficient GOP backing to alter Senate rules, identical passage by both chambers before December 31, 2026, appears unlikely. Traders view these legislative dynamics and the absence of viable bypass mechanisms as the dominant factors sustaining elevated “No” odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$168,367Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The 89.5% trader consensus against H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 stems primarily from repeated Senate procedural barriers.** The bill, which would mandate documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House narrowly in April 2025 and again in February 2026 (218-213). It has since stalled in the Senate, where Republicans hold a 53-seat majority but lack the 60 votes needed to invoke cloture and overcome a filibuster.
Recent developments reinforce this outlook. A June 2026 attempt to attach related provisions to a DHS funding bill failed when several Republicans joined Democrats in opposition. With no Democratic support emerging and insufficient GOP backing to alter Senate rules, identical passage by both chambers before December 31, 2026, appears unlikely. Traders view these legislative dynamics and the absence of viable bypass mechanisms as the dominant factors sustaining elevated “No” odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$168,367Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The 89.5% trader consensus against H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 stems primarily from repeated Senate procedural barriers.** The bill, which would mandate documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House narrowly in April 2025 and again in February 2026 (218-213). It has since stalled in the Senate, where Republicans hold a 53-seat majority but lack the 60 votes needed to invoke cloture and overcome a filibuster. Recent developments reinforce this outlook. A June 2026 attempt to attach related provisions to a DHS funding bill failed when several Republicans joined Democrats in opposition. With no Democratic support emerging and insufficient GOP backing to alter Senate rules, identical passage by both chambers before December 31, 2026, appears unlikely. Traders view these legislative dynamics and the absence of viable bypass mechanisms as the dominant factors sustaining elevated “No” odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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