**Trader consensus on the low odds of H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 reflects Senate procedural barriers that have repeatedly stalled the legislation.** Versions of the bill requiring documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration passed the House in April 2025 (220-208) and again in February 2026 (218-213), with later attempts to embed related provisions in the NDAA. However, the Senate has not advanced it, as the measure needs 60 votes to overcome a filibuster while Republicans hold a 53-seat majority. Cross-party support has not materialized, and at least one Republican has opposed cloture. With limited legislative days remaining in 2026 and no scheduled path to enactment, implied probabilities heavily favor failure to reach the president's desk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$190,044 Vol.
$190,044 Vol.
Sim
$190,044 Vol.
$190,044 Vol.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus on the low odds of H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 reflects Senate procedural barriers that have repeatedly stalled the legislation.** Versions of the bill requiring documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration passed the House in April 2025 (220-208) and again in February 2026 (218-213), with later attempts to embed related provisions in the NDAA. However, the Senate has not advanced it, as the measure needs 60 votes to overcome a filibuster while Republicans hold a 53-seat majority. Cross-party support has not materialized, and at least one Republican has opposed cloture. With limited legislative days remaining in 2026 and no scheduled path to enactment, implied probabilities heavily favor failure to reach the president's desk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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