Traders see a tightly contested race for second place in text-based math AI performance by late October, with no single lab holding a clear edge amid rapid model iterations. Google maintains near-even odds alongside numerous unspecified contenders, reflecting its strong benchmark history in areas like advanced reasoning and symbolic math, while Chinese labs such as Alibaba, DeepSeek, and Z.ai trade at lower but notable levels due to aggressive scaling of specialized training datasets and compute. OpenAI, Anthropic, and others sit further back, as recent releases emphasize broad capabilities over pure math specialization. Key swing factors include upcoming benchmark drops, model fine-tunes targeting math arenas, and any surprise announcements that could shift leaderboards before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSegundo melhor Text Arena Math AI Lab no final de outubro?
Google 44%
Alibaba 17%
Z.ai 17%
Xiaomi 9%

44%

Alibaba
17%

Z.ai
17%

Xiaomi
9%

OpenAI
6%

DeepSeek
5%

Anthropic
5%

Meituan
4%

ByteDance
4%

Baidu
4%

Meta
4%

Microsoft
4%

Amazon
3%

Moonshot
3%

SpaceXAI
3%

StepFun
2%

Tencent
2%

MiniMax
1%

Mistral
1%

Nvidia
6%
Google 44%
Alibaba 17%
Z.ai 17%
Xiaomi 9%

44%

Alibaba
17%

Z.ai
17%

Xiaomi
9%

OpenAI
6%

DeepSeek
5%

Anthropic
5%

Meituan
4%

ByteDance
4%

Baidu
4%

Meta
4%

Microsoft
4%

Amazon
3%

Moonshot
3%

SpaceXAI
3%

StepFun
2%

Tencent
2%

MiniMax
1%

Mistral
1%

Nvidia
6%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tightly contested race for second place in text-based math AI performance by late October, with no single lab holding a clear edge amid rapid model iterations. Google maintains near-even odds alongside numerous unspecified contenders, reflecting its strong benchmark history in areas like advanced reasoning and symbolic math, while Chinese labs such as Alibaba, DeepSeek, and Z.ai trade at lower but notable levels due to aggressive scaling of specialized training datasets and compute. OpenAI, Anthropic, and others sit further back, as recent releases emphasize broad capabilities over pure math specialization. Key swing factors include upcoming benchmark drops, model fine-tunes targeting math arenas, and any surprise announcements that could shift leaderboards before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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