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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul

icon for Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul

Larry Rhoden 100.0%

Toby Doeden <1%

Dusty Johnson <1%

Jon Hansen <1%

Polymarket

$202,253 Vol.

Larry Rhoden 100.0%

Toby Doeden <1%

Dusty Johnson <1%

Jon Hansen <1%

Polymarket

$202,253 Vol.

Toby Doeden

$65,456 Vol.

Não

Dusty Johnson

$26,139 Vol.

Não

Jon Hansen

$22,549 Vol.

Não

Larry Rhoden

$88,109 Vol.

Sim

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Larry Rhoden and Toby Doeden advanced to South Dakota’s first Republican gubernatorial primary runoff on July 28 after the June 2 vote split the field, with Doeden at roughly 31 percent and Rhoden at 25 percent.** Johnson and Hansen, finishing third and fourth, were eliminated. Rhoden’s incumbency—gained when he succeeded Kristi Noem in 2025—provides name recognition and institutional backing, while Doeden positions himself as a business outsider focused on eliminating property taxes. Central issues include affordability and tax policy, with Rhoden backing a measure letting counties swap property taxes for a sales-tax option. The close trader-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over how support from the eliminated candidates consolidates, regional turnout patterns, and whether endorsements, spending, or debate positioning will shift momentum before the runoff ballot.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$202,253
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Larry Rhoden and Toby Doeden advanced to South Dakota’s first Republican gubernatorial primary runoff on July 28 after the June 2 vote split the field, with Doeden at roughly 31 percent and Rhoden at 25 percent.** Johnson and Hansen, finishing third and fourth, were eliminated. Rhoden’s incumbency—gained when he succeeded Kristi Noem in 2025—provides name recognition and institutional backing, while Doeden positions himself as a business outsider focused on eliminating property taxes. Central issues include affordability and tax policy, with Rhoden backing a measure letting counties swap property taxes for a sales-tax option. The close trader-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over how support from the eliminated candidates consolidates, regional turnout patterns, and whether endorsements, spending, or debate positioning will shift momentum before the runoff ballot.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$202,253
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Larry Rhoden" at 100%, followed by "Toby Doeden" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" has generated $202.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" is "Larry Rhoden" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Toby Doeden" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.