Virginia voters approved the redistricting referendum constitutional amendment in the April 21, 2026, special election by a 51.7% to 48.3% margin—3.4 percentage points—aligning precisely with trader consensus on a 3-6% pass victory and reflecting pre-election polls showing slim Yes leads around 52-47 amid high turnout exceeding 3 million ballots. Strong Democratic performance in Northern Virginia suburbs offset Republican strength in rural areas and Southside, consistent with 2025 gubernatorial results. The Supreme Court of Virginia's 4-3 ruling today nullifying the referendum for procedural flaws preserves current 6-5 Democratic congressional maps but leaves the recorded vote margin intact for market resolution. Late provisional ballot adjustments or rare recounts represent minimal remaining risks to this outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAprovação por 3-6% 100.0%
Aprovação 15%+ <1%
Aprovar 12-15% <1%
Aprovação de 9-12% <1%
$646,908 Vol.
$646,908 Vol.
21 abr 2026
Aprovação 15%+
Não
Aprovar 12-15%
Não
Aprovação de 9-12%
Não
Aprovação de 6-9%
Não
Aprovação por 3-6%
Sim
Aprovação <3%
Não
Não Passa
Não
Aprovação por 3-6% 100.0%
Aprovação 15%+ <1%
Aprovar 12-15% <1%
Aprovação de 9-12% <1%
$646,908 Vol.
$646,908 Vol.
21 abr 2026
Aprovação 15%+
$17,389 Vol.
Não
Aprovar 12-15%
$22,315 Vol.
Não
Aprovação de 9-12%
$45,358 Vol.
Não
Aprovação de 6-9%
$84,095 Vol.
Não
Aprovação por 3-6%
$258,160 Vol.
Sim
Aprovação <3%
$178,296 Vol.
Não
Não Passa
$41,295 Vol.
Não
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026, over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Virginia voters approved the redistricting referendum constitutional amendment in the April 21, 2026, special election by a 51.7% to 48.3% margin—3.4 percentage points—aligning precisely with trader consensus on a 3-6% pass victory and reflecting pre-election polls showing slim Yes leads around 52-47 amid high turnout exceeding 3 million ballots. Strong Democratic performance in Northern Virginia suburbs offset Republican strength in rural areas and Southside, consistent with 2025 gubernatorial results. The Supreme Court of Virginia's 4-3 ruling today nullifying the referendum for procedural flaws preserves current 6-5 Democratic congressional maps but leaves the recorded vote margin intact for market resolution. Late provisional ballot adjustments or rare recounts represent minimal remaining risks to this outcome.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026, over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$646,908Data de Término
21 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026, over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Virginia voters approved the redistricting referendum constitutional amendment in the April 21, 2026, special election by a 51.7% to 48.3% margin—3.4 percentage points—aligning precisely with trader consensus on a 3-6% pass victory and reflecting pre-election polls showing slim Yes leads around 52-47 amid high turnout exceeding 3 million ballots. Strong Democratic performance in Northern Virginia suburbs offset Republican strength in rural areas and Southside, consistent with 2025 gubernatorial results. The Supreme Court of Virginia's 4-3 ruling today nullifying the referendum for procedural flaws preserves current 6-5 Democratic congressional maps but leaves the recorded vote margin intact for market resolution. Late provisional ballot adjustments or rare recounts represent minimal remaining risks to this outcome.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026, over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
Volume
$646,908Data de Término
21 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Virginia voters approved the redistricting referendum constitutional amendment in the April 21, 2026, special election by a 51.7% to 48.3% margin—3.4 percentage points—aligning precisely with trader consensus on a 3-6% pass victory and reflecting pre-election polls showing slim Yes leads around 52-47 amid high turnout exceeding 3 million ballots. Strong Democratic performance in Northern Virginia suburbs offset Republican strength in rural areas and Southside, consistent with 2025 gubernatorial results. The Supreme Court of Virginia's 4-3 ruling today nullifying the referendum for procedural flaws preserves current 6-5 Democratic congressional maps but leaves the recorded vote margin intact for market resolution. Late provisional ballot adjustments or rare recounts represent minimal remaining risks to this outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions