Trump's upcoming roundtable in Memphis, Tennessee, with Black faith leaders on August 21 has traders focusing on his prepared remarks amid intensifying campaign rhetoric against Vice President Harris. Recent speeches in Pennsylvania and New Jersey emphasized border security and economic policy, influencing bets on whether he'll repeat phrases like "Kamala crash" or address faith-based issues central to the event hosts. Trader consensus reflects his pattern of ad-libbing on crime and immigration to resonate with conservative audiences, with odds shifting after yesterday's Truth Social posts criticizing Democratic policies. The live event itself is the key catalyst, potentially swaying probabilities based on unscripted comments, as past roundtables have featured off-the-cuff endorsements and attacks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoThousand / Hundred 25+ times
38%
Job 15+ times
57%
Biden / Obama 7+ times
57%
Iran 7+ times
36%
Border 7+ times
61%
Scam / Fraud 3+ times
48%
Hell 8+ times
25%
Hottest
47%
ID / Identification
57%
FEMA
43%
Oil
74%
Nuclear
68%
Cancer
17%
Windmill
43%
Rubio / Vance
35%
Hormuz
31%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
48%
Egg
13%
Fake news
60%
Stupid / Idiot
57%
Excursion
45%
NATO
39%
Chicago
55%
Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating / Obliterate
41%
Favored Nation
45%
Washington / DC
70%
-No Qualifying Event-
2%
$1,836 Vol.
Thousand / Hundred 25+ times
38%
Job 15+ times
57%
Biden / Obama 7+ times
57%
Iran 7+ times
36%
Border 7+ times
61%
Scam / Fraud 3+ times
48%
Hell 8+ times
25%
Hottest
47%
ID / Identification
57%
FEMA
43%
Oil
74%
Nuclear
68%
Cancer
17%
Windmill
43%
Rubio / Vance
35%
Hormuz
31%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
48%
Egg
13%
Fake news
60%
Stupid / Idiot
57%
Excursion
45%
NATO
39%
Chicago
55%
Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating / Obliterate
41%
Favored Nation
45%
Washington / DC
70%
-No Qualifying Event-
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Memphis Roundtable scheduled for March 23, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's Memphis Roundtable scheduled for March 23, 2026, 1PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's upcoming roundtable in Memphis, Tennessee, with Black faith leaders on August 21 has traders focusing on his prepared remarks amid intensifying campaign rhetoric against Vice President Harris. Recent speeches in Pennsylvania and New Jersey emphasized border security and economic policy, influencing bets on whether he'll repeat phrases like "Kamala crash" or address faith-based issues central to the event hosts. Trader consensus reflects his pattern of ad-libbing on crime and immigration to resonate with conservative audiences, with odds shifting after yesterday's Truth Social posts criticizing Democratic policies. The live event itself is the key catalyst, potentially swaying probabilities based on unscripted comments, as past roundtables have featured off-the-cuff endorsements and attacks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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