Official records, including the 2019 autopsy, Bureau of Prisons reports, and a June 2026 New York Times investigation drawing on newly released documents and Epstein's jail writings, establish his death by suicide with no credible subsequent evidence of survival. Recent DOJ file releases in early 2026, including post-mortem photos and interview footage, have reinforced this conclusion while debunking circulating rumors. With only months remaining before 2027, traders assign 97.7% probability to "No" based on the absence of verifiable confirmation such as authenticated identification or official reversal. Scenarios that could still shift odds include emergence of conclusive forensic proof or institutional acknowledgment, though institutional and evidentiary barriers make such developments unlikely within the resolution window.