Market icon
Política·Trump

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Market icon
Política·Trump

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Stephen Miller 50%

Howard Lutnick 50%

Linda McMahon 50%

Donald Trump 50%

Polymarket
NOVO

Stephen Miller 50%

Howard Lutnick 50%

Linda McMahon 50%

Donald Trump 50%

Polymarket
NOVO

Stephen Miller

$0 Vol.

50%

Howard Lutnick

$0 Vol.

50%

Linda McMahon

$0 Vol.

50%

Donald Trump

$0 Vol.

50%

Anna Kelly

$0 Vol.

50%

Taylor Rogers

$0 Vol.

50%

Tom Homan

$0 Vol.

50%

Scott Bessent

$0 Vol.

49%

Brooke Rollins

$0 Vol.

49%

Susie Wiles

$0 Vol.

49%

Liz Huston

$0 Vol.

49%

Abigail Jackson

$0 Vol.

49%

Pamela Bondi

$0 Vol.

49%

Marco Rubio

$0 Vol.

48%

Peter Hegseth

$0 Vol.

26%

Erika Kirk

$0 Vol.

26%

JD Vance

$0 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.Anticipation of White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's maternity leave in May, as she awaits her second child, drives trader consensus in this market, with no prior substitutes named since her January 2025 start. Odds remain tightly clustered at 49.5% across deputies like Principal Deputy Anna Kelly, Assistant Press Secretaries Taylor Rogers and Liz Huston, alongside senior allies including Marco Rubio, Stephen Miller, Susie Wiles, and JD Vance, reflecting the administration's silence on preferences and President Trump's history of unpredictable personnel choices for short-term roles. Recent speculation, including reports positioning Kelly as a frontrunner due to her communications experience, has yet to shift sentiment amid Leavitt's ongoing briefings through late March. An official announcement or her first absence could quickly separate frontrunners.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.

This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.

This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.Anticipation of White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's maternity leave in May, as she awaits her second child, drives trader consensus in this market, with no prior substitutes named since her January 2025 start. Odds remain tightly clustered at 49.5% across deputies like Principal Deputy Anna Kelly, Assistant Press Secretaries Taylor Rogers and Liz Huston, alongside senior allies including Marco Rubio, Stephen Miller, Susie Wiles, and JD Vance, reflecting the administration's silence on preferences and President Trump's history of unpredictable personnel choices for short-term roles. Recent speculation, including reports positioning Kelly as a frontrunner due to her communications experience, has yet to shift sentiment amid Leavitt's ongoing briefings through late March. An official announcement or her first absence could quickly separate frontrunners.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.

This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.

This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Stephen Miller" at 50%, followed by "Howard Lutnick" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?" is "Stephen Miller" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Howard Lutnick" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.