Donald Trump was inaugurated as the 47th President on January 20, 2025, securing a fresh four-year term backed by Republican majorities in the House and Senate, which drastically lowers the likelihood of impeachment and removal—requiring a House majority to impeach and a two-thirds Senate supermajority to convict. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" reflects the absence of any recent catalysts like resignation announcements, 25th Amendment invocations by Vice President Vance and Cabinet, health crises, or legal challenges disqualifying his presidency in the past 30 days. Stability from ongoing executive orders and Cabinet confirmations reinforces this positioning, though low-probability scenarios such as sudden scandals, medical emergencies, or extraordinary congressional action could still prompt shifts before April 30.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
NEW
$37,588 Vol.
NEW
$37,588 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Sim
NEW
$37,588 Vol.
NEW
$37,588 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Donald Trump was inaugurated as the 47th President on January 20, 2025, securing a fresh four-year term backed by Republican majorities in the House and Senate, which drastically lowers the likelihood of impeachment and removal—requiring a House majority to impeach and a two-thirds Senate supermajority to convict. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" reflects the absence of any recent catalysts like resignation announcements, 25th Amendment invocations by Vice President Vance and Cabinet, health crises, or legal challenges disqualifying his presidency in the past 30 days. Stability from ongoing executive orders and Cabinet confirmations reinforces this positioning, though low-probability scenarios such as sudden scandals, medical emergencies, or extraordinary congressional action could still prompt shifts before April 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volume
$37,588Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Donald Trump was inaugurated as the 47th President on January 20, 2025, securing a fresh four-year term backed by Republican majorities in the House and Senate, which drastically lowers the likelihood of impeachment and removal—requiring a House majority to impeach and a two-thirds Senate supermajority to convict. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" reflects the absence of any recent catalysts like resignation announcements, 25th Amendment invocations by Vice President Vance and Cabinet, health crises, or legal challenges disqualifying his presidency in the past 30 days. Stability from ongoing executive orders and Cabinet confirmations reinforces this positioning, though low-probability scenarios such as sudden scandals, medical emergencies, or extraordinary congressional action could still prompt shifts before April 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$37,950Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump was inaugurated as the 47th President on January 20, 2025, securing a fresh four-year term backed by Republican majorities in the House and Senate, which drastically lowers the likelihood of impeachment and removal—requiring a House majority to impeach and a two-thirds Senate supermajority to convict. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" reflects the absence of any recent catalysts like resignation announcements, 25th Amendment invocations by Vice President Vance and Cabinet, health crises, or legal challenges disqualifying his presidency in the past 30 days. Stability from ongoing executive orders and Cabinet confirmations reinforces this positioning, though low-probability scenarios such as sudden scandals, medical emergencies, or extraordinary congressional action could still prompt shifts before April 30.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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