Diverging monetary policies remain the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a 3.75% policy rate against the ECB’s 2.0–2.4% range, preserving a roughly 135–175 basis point yield advantage that favors the dollar. Recent U.S. data, including resilient labor metrics and inflation near 3.5%, contrast with euro-area growth at 0.8% and softer CPI, reinforcing trader expectations of limited near-term ECB support. The pair trades around 1.15 as of early August 2026, within a narrow range after modest monthly gains. Key upcoming catalysts include the August U.S. nonfarm payrolls release, July–August FOMC and ECB decisions, and any shifts in U.S. inflation or euro-area sentiment that could narrow or widen the rate gap and alter implied probabilities for year-end moves.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$88,121 Vol.
31 dez 2026
↑ 1,40
3%
↑ 1,35
5%
↑ 1,30
7%
↑ 1,26
8%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
19%
↑ 1,20
25%
↓ 1,12
63%
↓ 1,10
28%
↓ 1,05
7%
↓ 1,00
4%
$88,121 Vol.
↑ 1,40
$2,064 Vol.
3%
↑ 1,35
$1,515 Vol.
5%
↑ 1,30
$901 Vol.
7%
↑ 1,26
$3,132 Vol.
8%
↑ 1,24
$2,438 Vol.
9%
↑ 1,22
$399 Vol.
19%
↑ 1,20
$40,964 Vol.
25%
↓ 1,12
$2,725 Vol.
63%
↓ 1,10
$3,944 Vol.
28%
↓ 1,05
$5,760 Vol.
7%
↓ 1,00
$4,290 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Diverging monetary policies remain the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a 3.75% policy rate against the ECB’s 2.0–2.4% range, preserving a roughly 135–175 basis point yield advantage that favors the dollar. Recent U.S. data, including resilient labor metrics and inflation near 3.5%, contrast with euro-area growth at 0.8% and softer CPI, reinforcing trader expectations of limited near-term ECB support. The pair trades around 1.15 as of early August 2026, within a narrow range after modest monthly gains. Key upcoming catalysts include the August U.S. nonfarm payrolls release, July–August FOMC and ECB decisions, and any shifts in U.S. inflation or euro-area sentiment that could narrow or widen the rate gap and alter implied probabilities for year-end moves.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Mercado Aberto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Volume
$88,121Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Diverging monetary policies remain the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a 3.75% policy rate against the ECB’s 2.0–2.4% range, preserving a roughly 135–175 basis point yield advantage that favors the dollar. Recent U.S. data, including resilient labor metrics and inflation near 3.5%, contrast with euro-area growth at 0.8% and softer CPI, reinforcing trader expectations of limited near-term ECB support. The pair trades around 1.15 as of early August 2026, within a narrow range after modest monthly gains. Key upcoming catalysts include the August U.S. nonfarm payrolls release, July–August FOMC and ECB decisions, and any shifts in U.S. inflation or euro-area sentiment that could narrow or widen the rate gap and alter implied probabilities for year-end moves.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Volume
$88,121Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diverging monetary policies remain the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a 3.75% policy rate against the ECB’s 2.0–2.4% range, preserving a roughly 135–175 basis point yield advantage that favors the dollar. Recent U.S. data, including resilient labor metrics and inflation near 3.5%, contrast with euro-area growth at 0.8% and softer CPI, reinforcing trader expectations of limited near-term ECB support. The pair trades around 1.15 as of early August 2026, within a narrow range after modest monthly gains. Key upcoming catalysts include the August U.S. nonfarm payrolls release, July–August FOMC and ECB decisions, and any shifts in U.S. inflation or euro-area sentiment that could narrow or widen the rate gap and alter implied probabilities for year-end moves.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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