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Claude 5 previsões e probabilidades

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Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

51%

6-8

$12.5K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

64%

45%+

$342K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

28

Ends em 17 dias

Claude Code Commits End of June?

Claude Code Commits End of June?

57%

750.0k+

$2.8K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

64%

50%+

$69.3K Vol.

$991 Liq.

13

Ends em 17 dias

Best AI model on June 13?

Best AI model on June 13?

86%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$152K Vol.

$66.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 11 horas

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

17%

↓ 450.0k

$7.3K Vol.

$649 Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

73%

September 30

$2.4K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 playoffs?

Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 playoffs?

11%

$94 Vol.

$586 Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

24%

$13.4K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

23

Ends há 2 meses

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

White House # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

White House # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

100%

180-199

$59.6K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 3 horas

"Toy Story 5" Rotten Tomatoes score?

"Toy Story 5" Rotten Tomatoes score?

97%

75+

$530 Vol.

$744 Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Zelenskyy # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

52%

40-59

$13.5K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 3 horas

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K Vol.

Ends há 30 dias

Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

96%

<5

$17.5K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 3 horas

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

57%

June 22–June 28

$146K Vol.

$36.5K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

96%

July 31

$885K Vol.

$50.2K Liq.

18

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?

Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?

32%

$0 Vol.

$139 Liq.

Dota 2: 5chudsnoanchor vs Mit Esports (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs

Dota 2: 5chudsnoanchor vs Mit Esports (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs

52%

5chudsnoanchor

$0 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 17 horas

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

135

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Claude 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Claude go down on __ days in June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 31% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.