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JPM previsões e probabilidades

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Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

96%

Goldman Sachs

$2M Vol.

$119K Liq.

19

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

5%

Lloyds

$503K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

8%

BMO

$22.8K Vol.

$74.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

48%

Goldman Sachs

$0 Vol.

$774 Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

3rd largest private company end of June?

3rd largest private company end of June?

83%

OpenAI

$17.8K Vol.

$190K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

28%

Stripe

$73 Vol.

$592 Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

2nd largest private company end of June?

2nd largest private company end of June?

82%

Anthropic

$10.9K Vol.

$126K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Largest private company end of June?

Largest private company end of June?

94%

SpaceX

$40.5K Vol.

$126K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

91%

SpaceX

$8.7K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

64%

$571K Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?

9%

Anthropic

$3.9K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

27%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$164 Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

What will Kevin Warsh say during his Swearing-In?

What will Kevin Warsh say during his Swearing-In?

78%

Economy / Economics / Economic 3+ times

$16 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 6 horas

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

66%

Anthropic

$6.3K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko

66%

Petra Marcinko

$265 Vol.

$62.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

53%

Anduril

$52 Vol.

$896 Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Databricks vs Salesforce - higher valuation on June 30?

Databricks vs Salesforce - higher valuation on June 30?

51%

Databricks

$127 Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on June 30?

Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on June 30?

33%

Databricks

$3 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

84%

Anthropic

$14.4K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

12%

Epic Games

$5 Vol.

$951 Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like JPM.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for JPM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to Goldman Sachs. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on JPM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.