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PolíTica previsões e probabilidades

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Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

22%

$8.7K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

24%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$61M Liq.

742

Ends em mais de 2 anos

2026 NBA Champion

2026 NBA Champion

50%

Oklahoma City Thunder

$394M Vol.

$1M today

$1M Liq.

471

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

NBA: 2027 Champion

NBA: 2027 Champion

22%

Oklahoma City Thunder

$528K Vol.

$363K today

$2M Liq.

3

Ends em cerca de 1 ano

NBA Playoffs: Eastern Conference Champion

NBA Playoffs: Eastern Conference Champion

88%

New York Knicks

$18M Vol.

$97.3K today

$244K Liq.

16

Ends em 24 dias

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to NBA Finals

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to NBA Finals

89%

New York Knicks

$98.6K Vol.

$221K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

40%

Josh Shapiro

$658K Vol.

$362K Liq.

17

Ends em 7 meses

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

33%

Kim Kardashian

$16.1K Vol.

$353K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 anos

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

59%

Los Angeles Lakers

$15.9K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo Next Team

NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo Next Team

31%

Dallas Mavericks

$9.7K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

50%

25 bps increase

$49 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

White House # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

White House # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

43%

160-179

$8.9K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

99%

160-179

$44.2K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 3 horas

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

58%

80-99

$4.2K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

98%

60-79

$20.3K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 3 horas

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

60%

$571K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

60%

Petro - Colombia President

$431K Vol.

$241K Liq.

8

Ends em 7 meses

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

53%

Television / TV

$13.3K Vol.

$565 Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 18 - May 24)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 18 - May 24)

60%

Stock market

$3.9K Vol.

$85 Liq.

1

Ends em 1 dia

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

16%

$20.3K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PolíTica.

Polymarket currently hosts 181 active markets for PolíTica that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.6B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major US official out by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PolíTica predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.