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Seg previsões e probabilidades

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SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

22%

$46.7K Vol.

$992 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

68%

1.75-2.00T

$132K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

1

BW Industrial Holdings IPO Closing Market Cap

BW Industrial Holdings IPO Closing Market Cap

72%

No IPO before June 2026

$19.1K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends há 12 dias

Riku Dining Group IPO Closing Market Cap

Riku Dining Group IPO Closing Market Cap

66%

No IPO before June 2026

$7.8K Vol.

$915 Liq.

Ends há 5 dias

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

6%

90-100B

$137K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

4

Encore Medical IPO Closing Market Cap

Encore Medical IPO Closing Market Cap

40%

<45M

$14.9K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends há 7 dias

Anthropic next funding round closed by...?

Anthropic next funding round closed by...?

55%

December 31

$5.0K Vol.

$716 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

50%

$78 Vol.

$23 Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

38%

$19.3K Vol.

$125 Liq.

2

Ends em 16 dias

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

13%

$47.2K Vol.

$523 Liq.

11

Ends em 8 meses

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

<1%

$663K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 15 horas

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

44%

$198K Vol.

$34.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

99%

Anthropic

$228K Vol.

$68.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 15 horas

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

20%

June 30, 2026

$741K Vol.

$42.4K Liq.

44

Ends há 29 dias

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

54%

Anthropic

$365K Vol.

$45.6K Liq.

51

Ends em 2 meses

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

59%

$13.0K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 15 horas

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

19%

$113K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

96%

Denmark

$276K Vol.

$64.9K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue April 27-May 3?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue April 27-May 3?

78%

OpenAI

$2.0K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

7%

$1.4K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Seg.

Polymarket currently hosts 402 active markets for Seg that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 20% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Seg predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.