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Governo Dos EUA previsões e probabilidades

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Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

41%

December 31, 2026

$100K Vol.

$21 Liq.

4

Ends em 8 meses

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$321K Vol.

$324 Liq.

11

Ends em 6 meses

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by...?

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by...?

70%

June 30

$52.3K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

11

Ends em 2 meses

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

27%

December 31

$8M Vol.

$292K today

$2M Liq.

95

Ends em 8 meses

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

11%

December 31

$5M Vol.

$57.3K today

$265K Liq.

69

Ends em 8 meses

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

13%

$548K Vol.

$53.7K Liq.

25

Ends em 8 meses

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

1%

April 30

$643K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

67

Ends em 1 dia

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

2%

April 30

$467K Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

97

Ends em 1 dia

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

37%

7

$1M Vol.

$98.9K Liq.

25

Ends em 8 meses

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

10%

$65.4K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

41%

$31.8K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

9%

$22.3K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

7

Ends em 8 meses

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

12%

$16.1K Vol.

$502 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

10%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

79

Ends em 2 meses

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

55%

June 30

$37M Vol.

$2M today

$3M Liq.

719

Ends em 2 meses

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

61%

May 31

$8M Vol.

$725K today

$664K Liq.

237

Ends em 1 dia

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

3%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$3M Vol.

$256K today

$176K Liq.

140

Ends em 1 dia

Weed rescheduled by...?

Weed rescheduled by...?

41%

December 31

$744K Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

Ends há 29 dias

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

10%

$552K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

31

Ends em 8 meses

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

93%

$636K Vol.

$82.3K Liq.

62

Ends em 2 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 287 active markets for Governo Dos EUA that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $68.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 55% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Governo Dos EUA predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.