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icon for Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?
Política·SBF

Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?

icon for Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?
Política·SBF

Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?

$476,232 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$476,232 Vol.

Polymarket

Roger Stone

$8,745 Vol.

27%

Donald Brodie

$5,934 Vol.

26%

Stefan Brodie

$2,829 Vol.

20%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,554 Vol.

15%

Ryan Salame

$32,091 Vol.

13%

Matt Gaetz

$6,384 Vol.

12%

Daniel Penny

$508 Vol.

11%

Eric Adams

$1,101 Vol.

9%

Joe Exotic

$5,369 Vol.

9%

Young Thug

$4,717 Vol.

7%

Bob Menendez

$295 Vol.

6%

Julian Assange

$4,338 Vol.

6%

Steve Bannon

$8,806 Vol.

6%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,623 Vol.

5%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$25,438 Vol.

4%

Nicolás Maduro

$10,361 Vol.

4%

Andrew Tate

$1,648 Vol.

4%

Diddy

$30,974 Vol.

4%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$142,227 Vol.

4%

Edward Snowden

$3,250 Vol.

4%

Derek Chauvin

$27,291 Vol.

4%

Antoine Massey

$2,480 Vol.

3%

Martin Shkreli

$31,318 Vol.

3%

Roger Ver

$2,843 Vol.

3%

Ele mesmo

$13,668 Vol.

3%

Do Kwon

$23,621 Vol.

3%

Hunter Biden

$5,719 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$53,100 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second-term clemency record shows heavy reliance on the pardon power to address cases tied to the January 6 Capitol events, 2020 election challenges, and allies facing federal charges. On inauguration day in January 2025 he issued broad pardons and commutations covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants. Later grants in November 2025 covered figures such as Rudy Giuliani, Mark Meadows, and Sidney Powell linked to efforts to contest the prior election results. Through mid-2026 more than 1,700 total grants occurred, frequently bypassing formal Department of Justice review and favoring individuals with political or donor connections. Lobbying by Trump associates and influencers has shaped selections, while additional grants continued into September 2026. These actions establish a pattern traders monitor for further releases before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$476,232
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second-term clemency record shows heavy reliance on the pardon power to address cases tied to the January 6 Capitol events, 2020 election challenges, and allies facing federal charges. On inauguration day in January 2025 he issued broad pardons and commutations covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants. Later grants in November 2025 covered figures such as Rudy Giuliani, Mark Meadows, and Sidney Powell linked to efforts to contest the prior election results. Through mid-2026 more than 1,700 total grants occurred, frequently bypassing formal Department of Justice review and favoring individuals with political or donor connections. Lobbying by Trump associates and influencers has shaped selections, while additional grants continued into September 2026. These actions establish a pattern traders monitor for further releases before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$476,232
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Roger Stone" at 27%, followed by "Donald Brodie" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?" has generated $476.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?" is "Roger Stone" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Donald Brodie" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.