Trump has issued more than 1,700 pardons and commutations since returning to office in January 2025, including mass grants for January 6 defendants on his first day and subsequent actions favoring crypto executives, gun-rights cases, fraud convictions, and political allies. Recent batches in early September 2026 targeted figures such as Emory Jones and Patrick Adamiak, often bypassing traditional DOJ review in favor of direct White House or influencer input. With the market window closing December 31, 2026, trader focus centers on individuals with documented connections or active campaigns, while time constraints and Trump’s pattern of selective clemency shape probabilities for remaining names.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$463,472 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Donald Brodie
26%
Roger Stone
22%
Stefan Brodie
20%
Keonne Rodriguez
15%
Ryan Salame
13%
Roger Ver
12%
Matt Gaetz
12%
Daniel Penny
11%
Steve Bannon
9%
Eric Adams
9%
Joe Exotic
9%
Young Thug
7%
Julian Assange
6%
Bob Menendez
6%
Martin Shkreli
5%
Andrew Tate
5%
Elizabeth Holmes
5%
Ghislaine Maxwell
5%
Nicolás Maduro
5%
Diddy
4%
Edward Snowden
4%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Ele mesmo
3%
Antoine Massey
3%
Derek Chauvin
3%
Do Kwon
3%
Elon Musk
2%
Hunter Biden
1%
$463,472 Vol.
Donald Brodie
$4,479 Vol.
26%
Roger Stone
$8,405 Vol.
22%
Stefan Brodie
$2,809 Vol.
20%
Keonne Rodriguez
$17,544 Vol.
15%
Ryan Salame
$31,875 Vol.
13%
Roger Ver
$2,260 Vol.
12%
Matt Gaetz
$6,334 Vol.
12%
Daniel Penny
$508 Vol.
11%
Steve Bannon
$8,049 Vol.
9%
Eric Adams
$1,101 Vol.
9%
Joe Exotic
$5,369 Vol.
9%
Young Thug
$4,717 Vol.
7%
Julian Assange
$4,218 Vol.
6%
Bob Menendez
$295 Vol.
6%
Martin Shkreli
$30,439 Vol.
5%
Andrew Tate
$1,445 Vol.
5%
Elizabeth Holmes
$3,613 Vol.
5%
Ghislaine Maxwell
$25,158 Vol.
5%
Nicolás Maduro
$10,351 Vol.
5%
Diddy
$30,270 Vol.
4%
Edward Snowden
$3,183 Vol.
4%
Sam Bankman-Fried
$136,103 Vol.
4%
Ele mesmo
$13,668 Vol.
3%
Antoine Massey
$2,480 Vol.
3%
Derek Chauvin
$26,611 Vol.
3%
Do Kwon
$23,621 Vol.
3%
Elon Musk
$52,917 Vol.
2%
Hunter Biden
$5,651 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has issued more than 1,700 pardons and commutations since returning to office in January 2025, including mass grants for January 6 defendants on his first day and subsequent actions favoring crypto executives, gun-rights cases, fraud convictions, and political allies. Recent batches in early September 2026 targeted figures such as Emory Jones and Patrick Adamiak, often bypassing traditional DOJ review in favor of direct White House or influencer input. With the market window closing December 31, 2026, trader focus centers on individuals with documented connections or active campaigns, while time constraints and Trump’s pattern of selective clemency shape probabilities for remaining names.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Volume
$463,472Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has issued more than 1,700 pardons and commutations since returning to office in January 2025, including mass grants for January 6 defendants on his first day and subsequent actions favoring crypto executives, gun-rights cases, fraud convictions, and political allies. Recent batches in early September 2026 targeted figures such as Emory Jones and Patrick Adamiak, often bypassing traditional DOJ review in favor of direct White House or influencer input. With the market window closing December 31, 2026, trader focus centers on individuals with documented connections or active campaigns, while time constraints and Trump’s pattern of selective clemency shape probabilities for remaining names.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$463,472Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has issued more than 1,700 pardons and commutations since returning to office in January 2025, including mass grants for January 6 defendants on his first day and subsequent actions favoring crypto executives, gun-rights cases, fraud convictions, and political allies. Recent batches in early September 2026 targeted figures such as Emory Jones and Patrick Adamiak, often bypassing traditional DOJ review in favor of direct White House or influencer input. With the market window closing December 31, 2026, trader focus centers on individuals with documented connections or active campaigns, while time constraints and Trump’s pattern of selective clemency shape probabilities for remaining names.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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