Bipartisan Senate opposition, highlighted by a unanimous July 2026 resolution against any pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell, has reinforced trader expectations that President Trump will not grant clemency by the end of 2026. The non-binding measure, advanced by Sen. Jacky Rosen, underscored broad congressional resistance tied to Maxwell’s 2021 conviction for sex trafficking of minors in connection with Jeffrey Epstein. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has stated the Justice Department would not recommend clemency, while Trump has described the matter as one he has not considered and would review only through formal channels. Maxwell’s legal appeals are exhausted, yet no pardon application has advanced amid ongoing Epstein file scrutiny and survivor advocacy. These factors sustain the 92.5% implied probability against a pardon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
8% chance
$756,794 Vol.
$756,794 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Ganhe 3.25%
Sim
8% chance
$756,794 Vol.
$756,794 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Ganhe 3.25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan Senate opposition, highlighted by a unanimous July 2026 resolution against any pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell, has reinforced trader expectations that President Trump will not grant clemency by the end of 2026. The non-binding measure, advanced by Sen. Jacky Rosen, underscored broad congressional resistance tied to Maxwell’s 2021 conviction for sex trafficking of minors in connection with Jeffrey Epstein. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has stated the Justice Department would not recommend clemency, while Trump has described the matter as one he has not considered and would review only through formal channels. Maxwell’s legal appeals are exhausted, yet no pardon application has advanced amid ongoing Epstein file scrutiny and survivor advocacy. These factors sustain the 92.5% implied probability against a pardon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volume
$756,794Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan Senate opposition, highlighted by a unanimous July 2026 resolution against any pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell, has reinforced trader expectations that President Trump will not grant clemency by the end of 2026. The non-binding measure, advanced by Sen. Jacky Rosen, underscored broad congressional resistance tied to Maxwell’s 2021 conviction for sex trafficking of minors in connection with Jeffrey Epstein. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has stated the Justice Department would not recommend clemency, while Trump has described the matter as one he has not considered and would review only through formal channels. Maxwell’s legal appeals are exhausted, yet no pardon application has advanced amid ongoing Epstein file scrutiny and survivor advocacy. These factors sustain the 92.5% implied probability against a pardon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$756,794Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Bipartisan Senate opposition, highlighted by a unanimous July 2026 resolution against any pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell, has reinforced trader expectations that President Trump will not grant clemency by the end of 2026. The non-binding measure, advanced by Sen. Jacky Rosen, underscored broad congressional resistance tied to Maxwell’s 2021 conviction for sex trafficking of minors in connection with Jeffrey Epstein. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has stated the Justice Department would not recommend clemency, while Trump has described the matter as one he has not considered and would review only through formal channels. Maxwell’s legal appeals are exhausted, yet no pardon application has advanced amid ongoing Epstein file scrutiny and survivor advocacy. These factors sustain the 92.5% implied probability against a pardon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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