Trader consensus on the low likelihood of Trump facing impeachment by the end of 2026 stems from Republican House control after the 2024 elections and the procedural requirements for articles of impeachment. Historical patterns show such proceedings rarely advance without substantial bipartisan support or unified opposition party majorities, and current legislative priorities have not included formal inquiries. Midterm elections in 2026 could shift House composition, while late developments such as major scandals, whistleblower reports, or Senate dynamics might introduce new pressure points, though these remain low-probability catalysts within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
2% chance
$1,020,841 Vol.
$1,020,841 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Ganhe 3.25%
Sim
2% chance
$1,020,841 Vol.
$1,020,841 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Ganhe 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on the low likelihood of Trump facing impeachment by the end of 2026 stems from Republican House control after the 2024 elections and the procedural requirements for articles of impeachment. Historical patterns show such proceedings rarely advance without substantial bipartisan support or unified opposition party majorities, and current legislative priorities have not included formal inquiries. Midterm elections in 2026 could shift House composition, while late developments such as major scandals, whistleblower reports, or Senate dynamics might introduce new pressure points, though these remain low-probability catalysts within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,020,841Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on the low likelihood of Trump facing impeachment by the end of 2026 stems from Republican House control after the 2024 elections and the procedural requirements for articles of impeachment. Historical patterns show such proceedings rarely advance without substantial bipartisan support or unified opposition party majorities, and current legislative priorities have not included formal inquiries. Midterm elections in 2026 could shift House composition, while late developments such as major scandals, whistleblower reports, or Senate dynamics might introduce new pressure points, though these remain low-probability catalysts within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$1,020,841Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus on the low likelihood of Trump facing impeachment by the end of 2026 stems from Republican House control after the 2024 elections and the procedural requirements for articles of impeachment. Historical patterns show such proceedings rarely advance without substantial bipartisan support or unified opposition party majorities, and current legislative priorities have not included formal inquiries. Midterm elections in 2026 could shift House composition, while late developments such as major scandals, whistleblower reports, or Senate dynamics might introduce new pressure points, though these remain low-probability catalysts within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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