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icon for Índice de aprovação de Trump em 25 de setembro?

Índice de aprovação de Trump em 25 de setembro?

icon for Índice de aprovação de Trump em 25 de setembro?

Índice de aprovação de Trump em 25 de setembro?

set 25

set 25

38,0–38,4 39%

38,5–38,9 31%

39,0–39,4 20%

37,5–37,9 12%

Polymarket
NOVO

38,0–38,4 39%

38,5–38,9 31%

39,0–39,4 20%

37,5–37,9 12%

Polymarket
NOVO

<37,5

$15 Vol.

17%

37,5–37,9

$35 Vol.

12%

38,0–38,4

$35 Vol.

35%

38,5–38,9

$36 Vol.

31%

39,0–39,4

$284 Vol.

20%

39,5+

$15 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval near 38 percent amid persistent economic dissatisfaction and fallout from U.S. military action against Iran. Multiple September surveys, including Marquette at 37 percent and Reuters/Ipsos at 35 percent, show inflation and higher living costs as top voter concerns, with majorities saying his policies have hurt the economy. Opposition to the Iran conflict and related price spikes has further weighed on independents and some conservatives. With only days until the September 25 measurement, limited new data and stable trends support the market’s tight clustering around 38–39 percent ranges. Any late polling shifts on economic sentiment or foreign policy developments could still alter the final reading.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$421
Data de Término
25 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval near 38 percent amid persistent economic dissatisfaction and fallout from U.S. military action against Iran. Multiple September surveys, including Marquette at 37 percent and Reuters/Ipsos at 35 percent, show inflation and higher living costs as top voter concerns, with majorities saying his policies have hurt the economy. Opposition to the Iran conflict and related price spikes has further weighed on independents and some conservatives. With only days until the September 25 measurement, limited new data and stable trends support the market’s tight clustering around 38–39 percent ranges. Any late polling shifts on economic sentiment or foreign policy developments could still alter the final reading.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$421
Data de Término
25 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Índice de aprovação de Trump em 25 de setembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "38,0–38,4" at 35%, followed by "38,5–38,9" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Índice de aprovação de Trump em 25 de setembro?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Índice de aprovação de Trump em 25 de setembro?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Índice de aprovação de Trump em 25 de setembro?" is "38,0–38,4" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "38,5–38,9" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Índice de aprovação de Trump em 25 de setembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.