President Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, creating a voluntary federal framework for reviewing select “covered frontier” AI models for cybersecurity risks, granting agencies up to 30 days of pre-release access while explicitly barring mandatory licensing or pre-clearance. The action followed weeks of internal debate, an earlier shelved draft with a longer review window, and input from advisers concerned about U.S. competitiveness versus China. Subsequent statements, including a September 19, 2026, announcement of an “AI Force” and AI Czar, have reiterated opposition to measures that could slow innovation. Earlier 2025 orders revoked prior restrictions and targeted state-level rules, establishing a pattern of limited federal engagement focused on security partnerships rather than broad constraints. These developments shape trader assessments of whether additional executive actions meeting “restrictions” criteria will occur within market timeframes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
3%
31 de outubro
12%
31 de dezembro
14%
$1,625 Vol.
30 de setembro
$850 Vol.
3%
31 de outubro
$534 Vol.
12%
31 de dezembro
$241 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, creating a voluntary federal framework for reviewing select “covered frontier” AI models for cybersecurity risks, granting agencies up to 30 days of pre-release access while explicitly barring mandatory licensing or pre-clearance. The action followed weeks of internal debate, an earlier shelved draft with a longer review window, and input from advisers concerned about U.S. competitiveness versus China. Subsequent statements, including a September 19, 2026, announcement of an “AI Force” and AI Czar, have reiterated opposition to measures that could slow innovation. Earlier 2025 orders revoked prior restrictions and targeted state-level rules, establishing a pattern of limited federal engagement focused on security partnerships rather than broad constraints. These developments shape trader assessments of whether additional executive actions meeting “restrictions” criteria will occur within market timeframes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,625Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, creating a voluntary federal framework for reviewing select “covered frontier” AI models for cybersecurity risks, granting agencies up to 30 days of pre-release access while explicitly barring mandatory licensing or pre-clearance. The action followed weeks of internal debate, an earlier shelved draft with a longer review window, and input from advisers concerned about U.S. competitiveness versus China. Subsequent statements, including a September 19, 2026, announcement of an “AI Force” and AI Czar, have reiterated opposition to measures that could slow innovation. Earlier 2025 orders revoked prior restrictions and targeted state-level rules, establishing a pattern of limited federal engagement focused on security partnerships rather than broad constraints. These developments shape trader assessments of whether additional executive actions meeting “restrictions” criteria will occur within market timeframes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,625Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, creating a voluntary federal framework for reviewing select “covered frontier” AI models for cybersecurity risks, granting agencies up to 30 days of pre-release access while explicitly barring mandatory licensing or pre-clearance. The action followed weeks of internal debate, an earlier shelved draft with a longer review window, and input from advisers concerned about U.S. competitiveness versus China. Subsequent statements, including a September 19, 2026, announcement of an “AI Force” and AI Czar, have reiterated opposition to measures that could slow innovation. Earlier 2025 orders revoked prior restrictions and targeted state-level rules, establishing a pattern of limited federal engagement focused on security partnerships rather than broad constraints. These developments shape trader assessments of whether additional executive actions meeting “restrictions” criteria will occur within market timeframes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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