Trader consensus heavily favors Chong Won-oh at 89% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by his April 9 confirmation as the ruling Democratic Party of Korea's nominee after securing over 50% in the primary without a runoff, defeating rivals like Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui. The former three-term Seongdong-gu district chief's local governance record and party momentum under President Lee Jae-myung have propelled his odds, contrasting with incumbent Oh Se-hoon at 7.5%, who faces People Power Party primary competition from figures like Park Soo-min and Yoon Hee-sook. Recent polls suggested a tight matchup, but nomination solidified trader bets on Chong amid low opposition unity; shifts could arise from PPP primary outcomes, scandals, or national trends before early voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов мэра Сеула 2026 года
Победитель выборов мэра Сеула 2026 года
Чон Вон-о 89%
О Се Хун 8%
Чо Ын-хи <1%
Ан Чоль Су <1%
$23,144,585 Объем
$23,144,585 Объем
Чон Вон-о
89%
О Се Хун
8%
Чо Ын-хи
<1%
Ан Чоль Су
<1%
Пак Ён-джин
<1%
Хон Ик-пё
<1%
Чо Гук
<1%
Кан Хунсик
<1%
На Кён-вон
<1%
Хан Дон Хун
<1%
Пак Чжу Мин
<1%
Пак Хон-гын
<1%
Со Ёнкё
<1%
Чон Хён-хи
<1%
Чон Вон-о 89%
О Се Хун 8%
Чо Ын-хи <1%
Ан Чоль Су <1%
$23,144,585 Объем
$23,144,585 Объем
Чон Вон-о
89%
О Се Хун
8%
Чо Ын-хи
<1%
Ан Чоль Су
<1%
Пак Ён-джин
<1%
Хон Ик-пё
<1%
Чо Гук
<1%
Кан Хунсик
<1%
На Кён-вон
<1%
Хан Дон Хун
<1%
Пак Чжу Мин
<1%
Пак Хон-гын
<1%
Со Ёнкё
<1%
Чон Хён-хи
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Chong Won-oh at 89% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by his April 9 confirmation as the ruling Democratic Party of Korea's nominee after securing over 50% in the primary without a runoff, defeating rivals like Park Ju-min and Jeon Hyun-heui. The former three-term Seongdong-gu district chief's local governance record and party momentum under President Lee Jae-myung have propelled his odds, contrasting with incumbent Oh Se-hoon at 7.5%, who faces People Power Party primary competition from figures like Park Soo-min and Yoon Hee-sook. Recent polls suggested a tight matchup, but nomination solidified trader bets on Chong amid low opposition unity; shifts could arise from PPP primary outcomes, scandals, or national trends before early voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы