Trader consensus on the 2026 Peru presidential runoff heavily favors Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advancing together at 43.5%, reflecting their consistent leads in recent national polls from firms like Ipsos and Datum, where López Aliaga polls around 11-15% and Fujimori 8-12% amid a fragmented field of over 40 potential candidates. Right-wing voter consolidation bolsters their positions, with left-leaning and centrist figures like Nieto, Sánchez Palomino, and López Chau trailing far behind. Recent developments, including President Boluarte's plummeting approval below 10% and rejection of early elections, have amplified populist appeal for these frontrunners, while no major endorsements or scandals have shifted dynamics yet—watch regional elections in October 2024 for potential catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhich candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?
Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?
López Aliaga & Fujimori 44%
Fujimori & Nieto 13%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino 8%
López Aliaga & Nieto 6.3%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
44%
Fujimori & Nieto
13%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
8%
López Aliaga & Nieto
14%
López Aliaga & López Chau
6%
López Chau & Fujimori
5%
López Chau & Nieto
1%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
1%
Other
1%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 44%
Fujimori & Nieto 13%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino 8%
López Aliaga & Nieto 6.3%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
44%
Fujimori & Nieto
13%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
8%
López Aliaga & Nieto
14%
López Aliaga & López Chau
6%
López Chau & Fujimori
5%
López Chau & Nieto
1%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
1%
Other
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 2026 Peru presidential runoff heavily favors Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advancing together at 43.5%, reflecting their consistent leads in recent national polls from firms like Ipsos and Datum, where López Aliaga polls around 11-15% and Fujimori 8-12% amid a fragmented field of over 40 potential candidates. Right-wing voter consolidation bolsters their positions, with left-leaning and centrist figures like Nieto, Sánchez Palomino, and López Chau trailing far behind. Recent developments, including President Boluarte's plummeting approval below 10% and rejection of early elections, have amplified populist appeal for these frontrunners, while no major endorsements or scandals have shifted dynamics yet—watch regional elections in October 2024 for potential catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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