Civil Contract's commanding 89% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market on June 7 reflects recent polls showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation, with 21 parties registering by April 15 but only Civil Contract fully submitting its candidate list ahead of the April 23 deadline. EVN Report's April 6 voter survey highlighted growing public confidence and undecided voters swinging toward the ruling party, echoing its 2021 snap election dominance under proportional representation where the 5% electoral threshold disadvantages divided challengers like Armenia Alliance. Trader consensus anticipates a constitutional majority barring late scandals or alliance breakthroughs, though geopolitical tensions with Russia and Azerbaijan could influence turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГражданский договор 90%
Альянс Армения 6%
Наследие 2.4%
Процветающая Армения 2.3%
$103,314 Объем
$103,314 Объем
7 июн. 2026 г.
Гражданский договор
90%
Альянс Армения
6%
Наследие
2%
Процветающая Армения
2%
Армянский национальный конгресс
2%
Оринац Еркир
2%
Светлая Армения
1%
Альянс «Имею честь»
1%
Партия «Республика»
<1%
Гражданский договор 90%
Альянс Армения 6%
Наследие 2.4%
Процветающая Армения 2.3%
$103,314 Объем
$103,314 Объем
7 июн. 2026 г.
Гражданский договор
$41,427 Объем
90%
Альянс Армения
$49,639 Объем
6%
Наследие
$1,761 Объем
2%
Процветающая Армения
$1,554 Объем
2%
Армянский национальный конгресс
$2,006 Объем
2%
Оринац Еркир
$1,807 Объем
2%
Светлая Армения
$2,248 Объем
1%
Альянс «Имею честь»
$1,405 Объем
1%
Партия «Республика»
$1,468 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 89% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market on June 7 reflects recent polls showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation, with 21 parties registering by April 15 but only Civil Contract fully submitting its candidate list ahead of the April 23 deadline. EVN Report's April 6 voter survey highlighted growing public confidence and undecided voters swinging toward the ruling party, echoing its 2021 snap election dominance under proportional representation where the 5% electoral threshold disadvantages divided challengers like Armenia Alliance. Trader consensus anticipates a constitutional majority barring late scandals or alliance breakthroughs, though geopolitical tensions with Russia and Azerbaijan could influence turnout.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Объем
$103,314Дата окончания
7 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 89% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market on June 7 reflects recent polls showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation, with 21 parties registering by April 15 but only Civil Contract fully submitting its candidate list ahead of the April 23 deadline. EVN Report's April 6 voter survey highlighted growing public confidence and undecided voters swinging toward the ruling party, echoing its 2021 snap election dominance under proportional representation where the 5% electoral threshold disadvantages divided challengers like Armenia Alliance. Trader consensus anticipates a constitutional majority barring late scandals or alliance breakthroughs, though geopolitical tensions with Russia and Azerbaijan could influence turnout.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Объем
$103,314Дата окончания
7 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's commanding 89% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market on June 7 reflects recent polls showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation, with 21 parties registering by April 15 but only Civil Contract fully submitting its candidate list ahead of the April 23 deadline. EVN Report's April 6 voter survey highlighted growing public confidence and undecided voters swinging toward the ruling party, echoing its 2021 snap election dominance under proportional representation where the 5% electoral threshold disadvantages divided challengers like Armenia Alliance. Trader consensus anticipates a constitutional majority barring late scandals or alliance breakthroughs, though geopolitical tensions with Russia and Azerbaijan could influence turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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