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Политика·Мировые выборы

Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание Ассама

Market icon
Политика·Мировые выборы

Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание Ассама

БДП 96.2%

ИНК 3.0%

AITC <1%

КПИ(м) <1%

Polymarket

$60,364 Объем

БДП 96.2%

ИНК 3.0%

AITC <1%

КПИ(м) <1%

Polymarket

$60,364 Объем

Выиграет ли Бхаратийя Джаната Парти (БДП) наибольшее количество мест на выборах в Законодательное собрание Ассама в 2026 году? icon

БДП

$11,682 Объем

96%

Выиграет ли Индийский Национальный Конгресс (INC) наибольшее количество мест на выборах в Законодательное собрание Ассама в 2026 году? icon

ИНК

$7,393 Объем

3%

Выиграет ли Всеиндийский Тринамул Конгресс (AITC) больше всего мест на выборах в законодательное собрание Ассама в 2026 году? icon

AITC

$4,503 Объем

<1%

Выиграет ли Коммунистическая партия Индии (марксистская) (КПИ(м)) наибольшее количество мест на выборах в Законодательное собрание Ассама 2026 года? icon

КПИ(м)

$4,830 Объем

<1%

Выиграет ли Националистический конгресс партии (НКП) больше всего мест на выборах в законодательное собрание Ассама в 2026 году? icon

НКП

$4,181 Объем

<1%

Получит ли Всеиндийский объединённый демократический фронт (AIUDF) наибольшее количество мест на выборах в Законодательное собрание Ассама в 2026 году? icon

AIUDF

$4,917 Объем

<1%

Выиграет ли Народный фронт Бодоланда (BPF) наибольшее количество мест на выборах в Законодательное собрание Ассама 2026 года? icon

BPF

$4,458 Объем

<1%

Выиграет ли Коммунистическая партия Индии (КПИ) наибольшее количество мест на выборах в Законодательное собрание Ассама в 2026 году? icon

КПИ

$8,605 Объем

<1%

Выиграет ли Национальная народная партия (NPEP) наибольшее количество мест на выборах в Законодательное собрание Ассама в 2026 году? icon

NPEP

$5,154 Объем

<1%

Выиграет ли Асом Гана Паришад (АГП) наибольшее количество мест на выборах в Законодательное собрание Ассама 2026 года? icon

АГП

$4,642 Объем

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Polling in Assam's 126-seat Legislative Assembly election concluded on April 9 with a record 84.42% voter turnout, fueling trader consensus at 96% implied probability for BJP victory as the single largest party or NDA alliance leader. Consistent pre-poll surveys, including Matrize-IANS projecting 96-98 seats for BJP and News18-VoteVibe forecasting 80-90 for NDA, underscore Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's enduring popularity—named top CM choice by 48% in one poll—alongside incumbency gains from development initiatives, flood management, and stable governance since 2021. Opposition INC-led alliances lag far behind in seat projections (22-39 seats), hampered by fragmented Muslim votes and weak mobilization. Results await counting on May 4; unlikely shifts could arise from counting discrepancies in close constituencies, high invalid votes, or post-poll legal challenges in Barak Valley or Lower Assam.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Объем
$60,364
Дата окончания
9 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Polling in Assam's 126-seat Legislative Assembly election concluded on April 9 with a record 84.42% voter turnout, fueling trader consensus at 96% implied probability for BJP victory as the single largest party or NDA alliance leader. Consistent pre-poll surveys, including Matrize-IANS projecting 96-98 seats for BJP and News18-VoteVibe forecasting 80-90 for NDA, underscore Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's enduring popularity—named top CM choice by 48% in one poll—alongside incumbency gains from development initiatives, flood management, and stable governance since 2021. Opposition INC-led alliances lag far behind in seat projections (22-39 seats), hampered by fragmented Muslim votes and weak mobilization. Results await counting on May 4; unlikely shifts could arise from counting discrepancies in close constituencies, high invalid votes, or post-poll legal challenges in Barak Valley or Lower Assam.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Объем
$60,364
Дата окончания
9 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание Ассама» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «БДП» с 96%, за ним следует «ИНК» с 3%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 96¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 96%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание Ассама» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $60.4K с момента запуска рынка Dec 23, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание Ассама», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание Ассама» — «БДП» с 96%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 96%. Следующий ближайший исход — «ИНК» с 3%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание Ассама» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.