Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) showing Progressive Bulgaria at 37%, GERB-SDS at 21%, and PP-DB at 13%, alongside CAR and CAM surveys placing GERB-SDS at 19-20% versus PP-DB's 12%, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS as second-place finisher in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding 96% implied probability reflects the center-right coalition's consistent edge amid eight elections since 2021, driven by stable support from its established base despite ongoing instability and coalition negotiation uncertainties. With voting days away, challenges would require a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout favoring PP-DB, or polling error, though recent trends discount these risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПарламентские выборы в Болгарии: 2-е место
Парламентские выборы в Болгарии: 2-е место
ГЕРБ-СДС 95.8%
ПП–ДБ 2.5%
ПБ <1%
ДПС <1%
$61,094 Объем
$61,094 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
ГЕРБ-СДС
96%
ПП–ДБ
2%
ПБ
<1%
ДПС
<1%
Величие
<1%
Возрождение
<1%
БСП
<1%
ИТН
<1%
АПС
<1%
MECh
<1%
ГЕРБ-СДС 95.8%
ПП–ДБ 2.5%
ПБ <1%
ДПС <1%
$61,094 Объем
$61,094 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
ГЕРБ-СДС
$25,683 Объем
96%
ПП–ДБ
$8,658 Объем
2%
ПБ
$9,755 Объем
<1%
ДПС
$1,604 Объем
<1%
Величие
$2,145 Объем
<1%
Возрождение
$2,132 Объем
<1%
БСП
$2,002 Объем
<1%
ИТН
$2,145 Объем
<1%
АПС
$3,977 Объем
<1%
MECh
$2,992 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) showing Progressive Bulgaria at 37%, GERB-SDS at 21%, and PP-DB at 13%, alongside CAR and CAM surveys placing GERB-SDS at 19-20% versus PP-DB's 12%, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS as second-place finisher in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding 96% implied probability reflects the center-right coalition's consistent edge amid eight elections since 2021, driven by stable support from its established base despite ongoing instability and coalition negotiation uncertainties. With voting days away, challenges would require a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout favoring PP-DB, or polling error, though recent trends discount these risks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Объем
$61,094Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) showing Progressive Bulgaria at 37%, GERB-SDS at 21%, and PP-DB at 13%, alongside CAR and CAM surveys placing GERB-SDS at 19-20% versus PP-DB's 12%, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS as second-place finisher in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding 96% implied probability reflects the center-right coalition's consistent edge amid eight elections since 2021, driven by stable support from its established base despite ongoing instability and coalition negotiation uncertainties. With voting days away, challenges would require a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout favoring PP-DB, or polling error, though recent trends discount these risks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Объем
$61,094Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) showing Progressive Bulgaria at 37%, GERB-SDS at 21%, and PP-DB at 13%, alongside CAR and CAM surveys placing GERB-SDS at 19-20% versus PP-DB's 12%, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS as second-place finisher in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding 96% implied probability reflects the center-right coalition's consistent edge amid eight elections since 2021, driven by stable support from its established base despite ongoing instability and coalition negotiation uncertainties. With voting days away, challenges would require a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout favoring PP-DB, or polling error, though recent trends discount these risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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